Overseas Network Nov. 5 - The mid-term elections in the United States will be held on Nov. 6, but the election campaign is still shrouded in an atmosphere of uncertainty. The latest national joint poll conducted by Washington Post and ABC shows that the Democratic Party is still 8% ahead of the Republican Party in the race for the House of Representatives, though it has lost its edge.
According to ABC and other media reports, polls show that 52% of all registered voters tend to vote for Democratic House candidates, while only 44% of Republican House candidates support them. However, with the approaching election date, the momentum of the Democratic Party has slightly declined compared with the previous one. The Democratic Party is currently leading by 8 percentage points, down from 13 percentage points last month, and nearly half of the advantage compared with the 14 percentage point lead in August.
However, US media analysis pointed out that from past election results, the 8% advantage is enough for Democrats to get enough seats in the House of Representatives, and then recapture the dominance of the House from Republicans. However, some experts have pointed out that most of the participants in the polls are more interested in politics, and the younger generation is less enthusiastic about the polls. Therefore, the results of congressional elections in which Democrats control the House of Representatives and Republicans control the Senate are far from fixed.
The analysis also suggests that in some highly competitive constituencies, Republican candidates are likely to be hampered by unpopular Trump; nearly a third of these constituencies supported Hillary Clinton in the previous years presidential election. According to past experience, when the presidents approval rating is as low as Trumps current level, his party usually loses in the mid-term elections, but as can be seen from Trumps two years in the White House, historical statistical predictions do not necessarily apply to him.
Fifty-one of the 100 senators are Republicans and 49 are Democrats; nine of the 35 seats to participate in the midterm elections are Republicans and 26 Democrats; ten of the Republicans seeking re-election belong to the states that Trump won in 2016; these factors make the Democratic Party in a more dangerous position. It is less likely to become a majority party in the Senate. Senate elections in Illinois, Missouri, Tennessee, North Dakota, Nevada, Texas, Arizona and Florida are noteworthy; if the Democrats fail to capture Nevada, Arizona, Tennessee and Texas, it will be difficult for the Democrats to win the Senate. The hospital. But even if the Senate is still under Republican control, as long as Democrats win the House of Representatives, the chances of passing bills through Congress are very small. A joint Washington Post and ABC poll was conducted from October 29 to November 1. A random sample of 1 255 adults in the United States was conducted. Of these, 65% were interviewed by mobile phone and 35% by indoor telephone, with a positive or negative error of 3%. Source: overseas network Author: Yao Kaihong editor in charge: Su Hong _NBJ9980
At present, 100 senators, 51 Republicans, 49 Democrats; 35 to participate in the mid-term elections in the seats, 9 Republican and 26 Democratic Party; Democratic Party to seek re-election for the Senate seat, 10 belong to the 2016 Trump winning the state; these factors make the Democratic Party the situation is dangerous, It is less likely to become a majority party in the Senate. The Senate election results in Illinois, Missouri, Tennessee, North Dakota, Nevada, Texas, Arizona, Florida, worthy of attention; if the Democrats win in Nevada, Arizona, Tennessee and Texas, so it is difficult to win the Senate Democrats The hospital. However, even if the Senate is still owned by the Republican control, as long as the Democratic Party won the house, then the possibility of the bill through Congress has been very small.
A joint Washington Post and ABC poll was conducted from October 29 to November 1. A random sample of 1 255 adults in the United States was conducted. Of these, 65% were interviewed by mobile phone and 35% by indoor telephone, with a positive or negative error of 3%.