Reference News Network reported on Nov. 2 that Trumps popularity has repeatedly reached a new low, the lowest level in the past 44 years before the mid-term elections. According to the latest opinion poll, President Trumps approval rate is 41%, far below the average of 52% in the mid-term elections since 1974. Less than a week before the mid-term elections, outside analysis shows that Trumps popularity has fallen sharply, which is bound to help Democrats take majority seats in both houses of Congress from Republicans.
According to the latest Gallup poll results, President Trumps approval rate is 41%, which is much lower than the average of 52% in the mid-term elections since 1974. This is the lowest presidential support in the 44 years since the mid-term elections.
The report also points out that over the past 40 years, the parties controlling the White House have lost an average of 22 House seats in the midterm elections. Gallup said the presidents approval rating is the most important factor in determining whether his party will lose more seats. Data show that since 1950, the ruling party has lost an average of 37 seats in Congress, with the presidents approval rating below 50%.
Reported that the poll results helped the Democrats build momentum before the election. Trumps Republican Party currently controls the majority of seats in the Senate and the House of Representatives. However, as long as the Democrats and their allies in both houses take two more seats, they can gain control of the Senate and 25 more seats to gain control of the House of Representatives. If the statistics are used, the Democrats have a good chance of recapturing the majority of the Senate and House seats from the Republicans.
According to the Economist, if Democrats want to win a majority in the House of Representatives, they must get 5-6 million more votes than Republicans. Despite the seemingly huge gap, the Democratic Party has achieved good results in several by-elections in recent years, especially in the Pennsylvania special election, which is regarded as the vane of the mid-term elections, breaking through the traditional Republican votes, so many media are optimistic that the Democratic Party can gain an advantage in the mid-term elections.
According to CNN, the Democrats will win 225 seats in the House of Representatives (a majority of the House), while the Republicans will get 210 seats. In the Senate re-election, the Republican Party will get 52 seats and maintain control of the Senate, while the Democratic Party will get 48 seats. In other words, while the Republican Party still retains control of the Senate, it will lose control of the House of Representatives, and will be forced to make cross-party compromises in decision-making. Trump can no longer arbitrarily pass controversial bills.
The source of this article: Reference News Editor: Ji Ke _b6492