In the cold winter, the property market is different from each other.

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 In the cold winter, the property market is different from each other.


On the contrary, the phenomenon of housing unrest has appeared in many real estate markets. At the same time, the news that the media hyped the property market to cancel the price limit is not uncommon.

What is it like?

Room noise

Recently, the housing scandal has been staged in Shanghai, Changsha, Zhengzhou, Tianjin and so on.

First, the Vanke Xiamen Egret County spread the rumor of 50% discount sale and 1 million refund; then there was the Taihe Hefei courtyard 4,000 yuan / Ping reduction promotion, which attracted old owners to block doors and pull banners to defend their rights; and then there was the Hangzhou Binjiang future coastal phase II 400,000 yuan reduction and a project in Shangrao, Jiangxi Province, from 10,000 yuan down to 7,000 yuan suddenly. Light owners rights protection, check-out, and sales offices were smashed.

The so-called housing unrest, in most cases refers to the old owner of the house has been purchased due to the new or new prices lower than their purchase price dissatisfaction and organized for developers, collective unrest. The general causes of trouble also include the quality of the house, the disagreement between the opening price and the promotional price.

What is the beginning of chaos? Fundamentally speaking, whenever the property market regulation, credit tightening, housing prices turn downward, those who have faith in the only rise not fall or speculators will inevitably create a wave of housing unrest - after all, the loss of real money and interests.

For developers, some cities need to reduce prices through the market to promote the sale of housing, in order to reduce the pressure of inventory depletion and capital recovery, housing unrest is inevitable.

In response to the process, some developers at first still have the conditions to meet the needs of housing unrest and barely maintain the brand image through price reduction compensation measures; but blindly indulge, in return for crying children have milk to eat chaos.

For example, some housing enterprises to open a bad head, will bring pressure to other enterprises in the industry, have followed the refund check-out of the anti-riot means, eventually resulting in further expansion of speculative psychology of home buyers, can only rise and fall in the pseudo-logic is gradually sit down.

A more ironic example is that a few years ago in Beijing after the property market regulation and control of the wave of price cuts, a residential property owners because of the sharp fall in house prices and demand refund check-out; now, the price of the project has risen from the original 20,000 yuan a flat price, more than 50,000 a flat.

market

The price will be checked out housing logic, can really let housing prices return to rational?

From a common sense, price fluctuation around value is the manifestation of value law. In the downturn of the property cycle, developers under environmental pressure to reduce prices is a market behavior, and other commodities are no different.

Over the years, however, Chinas property market has only been rising and falling inertia myth, supporting the peoples belief in the property market, the formation of a buy is make concept. From the buyers point of view, both investors and speculators have basically used credit leverage, once the price falls, it will form a magnifying loss effect, housing unrest is inevitable.

Coincidentally, in addition to the real estate market downturn cycle caused by the drop-off phenomenon, second-hand housing prices when the owner or intermediary sitting down, tearing up contracts and other acts are also one of the causes of trouble. All of these reveal the lack of contract spirit in the market.

The truth is not difficult to say, if the property depreciates and you ask the other party to refund compensation, then the benefits of property appreciation and swallow it? It is obviously irrational and immature that the mentality of having fun and falling into trouble is obviously irrational.

Of course, this does not mean that the buyer is responsible for the housing trouble. Taking the housing quality problems of developers as an example, when the high-priced land encounters the price limit of the government, jerry-building, reduce building standards, so that the owners return home refund incidents occur repeatedly. For example, in September, Beijing Huarun Kunlun Real Estate in the Second Ring Road, there were obvious quality problems, many cracks filled with cement, and advertising housing standards are clearly inconsistent.

What uncle Dao wants to say is that any asset is risky.

In the stock market, Maotai, the king of stocks in Guizhou, which recently reached a trillion-dollar market value, is now rarely stopped. In the financial market, the peoples concept of capital-saving and financial management is deeply rooted, but the future of rigid cash will become history.

As for the real estate market, we also have to straighten out the road - only rising property market Bo silly era is over.

policy

How to stop housing trouble?

The most important thing is undoubtedly a correct understanding of the real estate market, which requires a higher level of understanding of policy trends and economic laws.

Recently, Xiamen, Guangzhou and other places the news of the total abolition of the property market buy-out crazy brush screen, and even rumors that the State Council stipulated that within six months must open the property market all buy-out restrictions. In addition to misinterpreting the real estate policy, rumors also imply speculation about the central banks monetary policy four times this year, the past thinking that once the central bank released water, house prices soared.

In fact, according to the latest data, the Bureau of Statistics released the price data of 70 cities in September this year. Sales prices of new commercial residential buildings in the first-tier cities declined in a ring-by-ring manner, and the increase in the second-tier and third-tier cities fell.

On the other hand, the third quarters economic data show that GDP growth continued to decline to 6.5%, the lowest since the second quarter of 2009, negative contribution to net exports, declining industrial growth, automotive and electronic growth significantly declined. In addition, the second-tier housing market regulation is tight and not loose, and the third-tier and fourth-tier housing reform is gradually withdrawn from the monetization of the current voice that downward pressure on the economy will force the government to relax real estate regulation.

In this regard, Shimadzu has only one sentence: Looking forward to the future of the property market, or to eat through July 31 this year, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee pointed out that resolutely curb the rise of housing prices spirit.

From a practical point of view, in September alone, the real estate regulation and control policies were issued as many as 70 times, more than 400 times throughout the year, and the cancellation of the pre-sale certificate system has been introduced in some cities; the NPC Standing Committee has included the real estate tax law in its legislative planning as a relatively mature law to be submitted for review during its term of office. The implementation of both rent and sale has become a policy consensus, and the supply of public rental housing and common property rights housing is increasing. Meanwhile, the Ministry of Housing and Construction is also establishing a real estate market monitoring system to improve the evaluation and assessment mechanism of local real estate regulation and control work.

Yesterday, the Xinhua news agency also published an article that emphasized:

The central governments determination to curb the rise of housing prices will not change. Regulation measures are not pretending to be fancy fights and embroidered legs and the positioning of no speculation in housing is being further implemented in all aspects. Policy talk plays a key role in guiding and stabilizing house price expectations, restoring the restlessness of rising house prices in second and third-tier cities, and letting some places place their hopes of flying a little longer quickly freeze. It should be noted that administrative means can quickly regulate the market; but in the long run, a healthy and stable real estate market can be achieved only when market-oriented and long-term mechanism aiming at balancing supply and demand is established. We should not underestimate the central governments determination to locate no speculation in housing and abandon the irrational belief that housing prices will rise forever. The source of this article: the knight editor of chivalrous Island: Wang Zheng _NN7526

The central governments determination to curb the rise of housing prices will not change. Regulation measures are not pretending to be fancy fights and embroidered legs and the positioning of no speculation in housing is being further implemented in all aspects. Policy talk plays a key role in guiding and stabilizing house price expectations, restoring the restlessness of rising house prices in second and third-tier cities, and letting some places place their hopes of flying a little longer quickly freeze.

We should not underestimate the central governments determination to locate no speculation in housing and abandon the irrational belief that housing prices will rise forever.