Andoubles visit to China has brought China Japan relations back on track, and the next 3 years will be a window of development.

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 Andoubles visit to China has brought China Japan relations back on track, and the next 3 years will be a window of development.


On October 27th, Japanese Prime Minister Abe Shinzo ended his three day visit to China.

Andouble received high standard reception from China during his visit to China. Xi Jinping, chairman of the Standing Committee of the National Peoples Congress, Li met with Andouble. President Xi Jinping and his wife specially held dinner with the couple. Premier Li Keqiang held talks with Ann. The leaders of the two countries exchanged in-depth, extensive and frank views on improving the development of Sino-Japanese relations and international and regional issues of common concern to both sides, and reached many consensus.

Li Keqiang and Abe also attended and addressed a reception in the Great Hall of the People to commemorate the 40th anniversary of the conclusion of the Sino-Japanese Treaty of Peace and Friendship. The two sides held the first China-Japan Ministerial Forum on Third Party Market Cooperation, attended by nearly 1,000 entrepreneurs from the two countries.

This year is the 40th anniversary conclusion of the Sino Japanese Treaty of peace and friendship. Sino Japanese relations have entered the age of no doubt. At this important juncture, the leaders of the two countries have once again visited each other within 11 years to push forward China-Japan relations, which are back on track. This is of great significance. It is helpful to consolidate and enhance political mutual trust between China and Japan, deepen pragmatic exchanges and cooperation in various fields between the two countries, and help promote the continuous renewal of China-Japan relations on the basis of the return to the right track. Development.

The next three years will be the window period for the development of Sino Japanese relations.

Looking ahead to the next three years, China-Japan relations face some key nodes: in 2019, Japan will host the G20 summit. In 2020, China will build a well-off society in an all-round way. Japan will hold the second Olympic Games in history. In 2021, the Communist Party of China ushered in 100th anniversary of the founding party, and Japan will hold a general election.

Considering the domestic political agenda, the potential for bilateral cooperation and the changes in the international regional environment, China-Japan relations are expected to maintain a strong momentum of continuous improvement and development, and China-Japan relations are expected to usher in a window period of steady development.

During his visit to Japan in May this year, Abe offered a high-standard reception, escorting him almost all the way. He personally sent him to the gangway to say goodbye to the two countries when he left, showing his enthusiasm for improving bilateral relations. Abe has made clear to Li Keqiang many times that Sino Japanese relations should be changed from competition to coordination. At the joint press conference held during his visit to China, Abe again called on Sino-Japanese relations from competition to cooperation to push Sino-Japanese relations into a new era. According to statistics, Abe mentioned coordination and cooperation eight times in the six minutes he answered reportersquestions.

According to Japanese media reports, people close to Abe have revealed that Abe intends to improve relations with China to become one of the greatest diplomatic highlights and ruling heritage. In recent exchanges with some Japanese people concerned about Sino-Japanese relations, the other side generally expressed that Abe really sincerely hopes to improve relations with China. They said that, against the background of a marked rise in the negative confrontation between the Trump administration and China policy, Abes government has gone against the tide and insisted on continuously improving its relations with China, showing that Japans foreign strategy is also undergoing subtle changes, and Abes government intends to seek a new balance between China and the United States.

Andouble was elected president of the LDP in September this year until 2021. Unexpectedly, his term of office will extend to 2021, becoming the longest serving prime minister in Japans constitutional history. As a strong prime minister, Abe has no political campaign pressure to focus on pushing his domestic and foreign policy agenda. In terms of foreign policy, the Andouble administrations policy toward China will maintain continuity and stability.

The Chinese government attaches great importance to Sino-Japanese relations and has consistently adhered to the general direction of peace, friendship and cooperation between the two countries. This is an established policy and will not be changed by a single incident.

At present, China is in the decisive stage of achieving the first hundred-year goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way by 2020. It is necessary to create a more favorable peripheral and international environment for further deepening reform and opening up. Therefore, China has strong will and patience to actively promote the stability and continuous development of Sino-Japanese relations.

This year is the 40th anniversary of reform and opening up, and also the 40th anniversary of the Treaty on peace and friendship between China and Japan. In the past 40 years, Japan has played a prominent role in influencing the external factors of Chinas reform and opening up. At present, Chinas reform and opening up process has entered a new stage, how to achieve high quality and sustainable development, Japans positive experience and negative lessons in this respect are particularly important to China.

High-level exchanges play an important leading role in the improvement and development of bilateral relations. The two sides should strengthen top-level design and high-level guidance on Sino Japanese relations and continuously enhance political mutual trust.

Sino Japanese relations will maintain a strong endogenous driving force.

In the field of investment, according to Japanese statistics, Japans investment in China in 2017 was 3.27 billion US dollars, up 5.1% year-on-year, reversing the downward trend for four consecutive years, and continued to maintain a rapid growth momentum in the first half of this year. In terms of trade, according to Chinese statistics, the volume of bilateral trade in goods between China and Japan in the first half of this year reached 214.1 billion US dollars, an increase of 11.2% over the same period last year. It can be predicted that in the next three years, Sino Japanese economic and trade relations will go up to a new level with the deepening of Sino Japanese cooperation in the fields of high-end manufacturing, finance, innovation and pension, and the gradual cooperation of the three party market cooperation under the one belt and one road framework.

In the humanities field, according to Japanese statistics, for the first time in the first half of this year, the number of tourists visiting Japan in mainland China exceeded the 4 million mark, reaching 4.056 million, an increase of 23.6% over the same period of last year, firmly occupying the first place among foreign tourists. Benefiting from this, Chinese peoples sentiment towards Japan has improved significantly. On October 11, the results of the Public Opinion Survey on Sino-Japanese Relations conducted by the Chinese Foreign Language Bureau and the Japanese Speech NPO showed that Chinese respondents were more optimistic about the future development of Sino-Japanese relations. More and more Chinese respondents acknowledge the importance of Sino-Japanese relations and look forward to further strengthening bilateral and multilateral cooperation.

Meanwhile, the feelings of the Japanese people toward China are also improving, though not very large. Considering that Japan is essentially a closed elite society, public opinion orientation and popular sentiment are greatly influenced by the political elite, academic and media circles. With the resumption and strengthening of exchanges between the leaders of the two countries, the warming atmosphere of Sino-Japanese political relations will gradually spread to Japanese society, and peoples feelings towards China will be stronger in the next three years. Great promotion.

It is a rational understanding of bilateral relations between the two governments and the strategic circles that China and Japan will benefit both sides while fighting will hurt both. Over the past few years, the repeated frustrating of Sino Japanese relations has once again verified this truth. In fact, the desire of the two countries to improve their relations has already begun to brew. The basic aspect of Sino-Japanese relations is the internal cause. The changes in the international situation have played a role of pushing the boat along the river.

Fifth political documents and long-term healthy development of Sino Japanese Relations

Needless to say, Sino Japanese relations still face many severe challenges in order to achieve long-term healthy and stable development. At present, China and Japan are still in the period of mutual understanding and positioning, and the structural contradictions between China and Japan will still be highlighted from time to time. The long-standing historical, Taiwan, territorial and maritime rights and interests between the two sides can not be fundamentally resolved in the short term.

In the long run, whether Sino-Japanese relations can eventually embark on the track of sound development depends on whether the two sides can enhance political and security mutual trust, grasp the development direction of bilateral relations from a strategic height and a long-term perspective, truly regard each others development as an opportunity, and genuinely realize the political consensus of mutual cooperation and mutual non-threat Translate into specific policies and actions. In the field of political security, the two sides should take the initiative to carry out positive interaction, focus on expanding common interests, strengthening economic cooperation and cultural exchanges, and properly control contradictions and differences in history, the East China Sea and the Taiwan issue to jointly create a new future for bilateral relations.

In the coming period, the two sides should follow the principles and spirit of the four political documents of China and Japan, support each others peaceful development and find a new mutual orientation in line with the trend of the times and the respective interests of the two countries as soon as possible.

Recently, former Japanese Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda and Secretary-General of the Liberal Democratic Party Junbo Eriko publicly proposed that in order to enhance political mutual trust, it is necessary for Japan and China to sign the fifth political document. Ten years have passed since the signing of the fourth political document, the China-Japan Joint Declaration on the Comprehensive Promotion of Strategic Mutual Benefit Relations, in 2008. Since Japan has such political will, China may take the opportunity to guide Japan to understand China more rationally and explore a new orientation in line with the trend of the times and the respective interests of the two countries.

The author believes that Sino-Japanese relations in the year of no doubt have stood at a new starting point. The orientation of Sino-Japanese relations should be promoted from the strategic reciprocal relationship based on the exchange of interests determined ten years ago to a more positive direction. A strategic cooperative partnership oriented to the future and based on the sense of the common destiny should be constructed.

Great changes in the world require stable Sino Japanese Relations

Against this background, as the second and third largest economies in the world, China-Japan relations have already gone beyond the bilateral scope and become more and more regional and global significance. The common language and common interests of China and Japan in jointly safeguarding the United Nations-based multilateral international order and the multilateral trading system with the World Trade Organization at its core are greatly increasing.

In a joint interview with Chinese media before his visit to China, Abe said that Japan and China share a major responsibility for peace and prosperity in the region and the world, and the two countries should proceed from the overall situation to develop stable, friendly and cooperative relations. During their meeting with Abe, President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang also stressed the importance of the two countriesjoint efforts to contribute to the development of Asia and the world.

In the Asia-Pacific region, with the rise of American unilateralism, isolationism and egoism, China-Japan cooperation will play a more important and constructive role in maintaining an open and inclusive regional economic order. In recent years, China and Japan have joined hands with ASEAN to promote the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement, which is a clear example. The countries in the region are also looking forward to improving relations between China and Japan as soon as possible, joining hands to meet global challenges and provide public goods for the Asia-Pacific region and the world.