How will the situation change on the peninsula after North Koreas announcement of a nuclear test stopped?

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 How will the situation change on the peninsula after North Koreas announcement of a nuclear test stopped?


North Korean leader Kim Jeong-eun announced the decision at the Third Plenary Session of the Seventh Central Committee of the Labour Party in April 20th. Kim Jeong-eun said that as long as North Korea is not provoked by nuclear threats, the DPRK absolutely does not use nuclear weapons and does not disclose nuclear weapons and nuclear technology. Kim Jeong-eun also said that the DPRK would concentrate all its efforts on developing the economy and improving peoples living standards. In order to create an international environment conducive to the development of the economy and maintain peace on the Korean Peninsula and the world, the DPRK will actively engage in close contact and dialogue with the surrounding countries and the international community. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Lu Kang spoke on the Korean decision 21 days ago, saying that China welcomes this decision. The Chinese side believes that the relevant decisions of the DPRK will help further ease the situation on the peninsula and help to promote the process of political denuclearization and the political settlement of the Peninsula issue. Achieving the denuclearization of the peninsula and lasting peace in the region are in line with the common interests of the people in the peninsula and in the region as well as the common expectation of the international community. It is hoped that all parties concerned will act together and take concrete actions to make due efforts to achieve lasting peace and common development in the region. China will continue to play an active role to this end. As the historic North Korean leaders summit will be held next week in Panmunjom and the summit will be held next month, the major news from the North Korean side is shaking public opinion. Why did North Korea choose to announce this momentous decision at this time? What will be the impact on the upcoming summit? Can North Koreas announcement be seen as the start of denuclearization? How will the situation on the peninsula develop next? Www.thepaper.cn has interviewed the experts on the peninsula. What is the special point of the announcement of the DPRK? Why did the choice be announced at this moment? Fan Ji she (director of the Strategic Research Office of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences): before that, the outside world has already known North Koreas similar position through the channels of South Korea and the United States. However, at the Third Plenary Session of the seventh session of the Central Committee of the labor party, the DPRK announced that the nuclear pilot test would be stopped, in the form of more official authority. Such a clear statement reflects the consensus within the party. North Korea took the initiative to make such a declaration before the summit of the DPRK and the US and DPRK. It also hoped to avoid being perceived as a concession under external pressure. The declaration of the DPRK should also be interpreted in a broader context. In 2013, the DPRK formally put forward a strategy of nuclear weapons and economic progress. Since then, major policy declarations have repeatedly stressed this point. Now, North Korea has made such a declaration, indicating that its nuclear development has achieved the expected results, and the next step is to develop the economy. It shows that Kim Jeong-eun has a strategy and is pushing forward in a predetermined direction. Li Kaisheng (Research Fellow of the International Research Institute of Shanghai Academy of Sciences): this decision of the DPRK is actually a bright card to Korea and the United States. This is a special practice in Korea. There is no choice through the summit negotiations to release such a declaration that can be considered results in the outside world. In fact, it is to insist on its own dominance. Dance with the beauty. North Korea makes such a declaration, hoping that the external environment can be improved. But Trump will not relax sanctions against North Korea until he can see no substantial progress in denuclearization. He has made a clear statement before. Moreover, the differences between the US and the DPRK in denuclearization are still great. It is still a stage of mutual exploration. It is almost impossible to relax sanctions against North Korea before the US DPRK summit. Guo Rui (Professor of international politics department, School of administration, Jilin University): the position of the DPRK is conducive to further promoting the relaxation process on the Korean Peninsula. The DPRK, through its apparent release of goodwill, intends to fight for the initiative to negotiate with the US and to express the desire to promote the denuclearization of the peninsula and gain more room for negotiation. Wang Peng (Lecturer of the Chinese Academy of Fudan University, a researcher at the Chahar Institute): North Korea hopes to get positive feedback, as well as to release goodwill, and hope that it can now be relaxed on the sanctions. Of course, the US and South Korea have no signs of letting go now. How can we evaluate whether the announcement of the DPRK can be seen as the beginning of its denuclearization measures? Fan Ji society: phased and synchronous denuclearization measures are a process of interaction between the two sides. Now it is only the unilateral statement of the DPRK. It is hard to say that this is the beginning of the phased, synchronous denuclearization measures, and more is the declaration of its own position. If it is possible to achieve phased and synchronous denuclearization measures in the future, this statement is a foundation. In addition, it is also important to note that North Koreas statement is stop. The subtext is the development of nuclear weapons, but it does not promise to be denuclearization in this declaration. Of course, the North Korean declaration should be affirmed. When North Korea began to contact, the DPRK was reluctant to talk about the denuclearization. After many rounds of consultations, under external pressure, the Korean, Korean and DPRK talks included the denuclearization of the agenda. North Korea is making such a mild announcement, which is in line with expectations and has laid the foundation for the progress of the DPRK summit. At present, the United States and South Korea have a more positive and positive response. Optimism about the possible success of the summit is on the rise. Li Kaisheng: its hard to come to a conclusion at the moment. It may be part of the stage of denuclearization in the outside world, but in Korea it seems to mean that the nuclear weapons industry has already been completed and there is no need for further testing. Next, it depends on the close cooperation between China and the United States in promoting North Korea to continue the process of denuclearization, but the United States has increased its differences with China on issues such as trade and Taiwan, which is not conducive to the ultimate abandonment of North Korea. Guo Rui: in the situation that the current situation has eased obviously, North Korea and the related parties have achieved success, this announcement gives a better atmosphere for the next successive Kim Jeong-eun and the related countries to carry out the diplomacy of the Fuehrer, and the DPRK makes such a major decision at this time, in line with the development requirements of the situation. And the demands of the DPRK itself. In the coming period, if the Korean and Korean talks are going smoothly, the situation of the Korean Peninsula is turning to the transition of stopping and mechanism and building the track of the peace mechanism. Then, the process of the denuclearization of the peninsula will be accelerated under the circumstances of the continued implementation of the double suspension initiative. Wang Peng: Yes, this can be seen as the beginning of the phased and synchronous denuclearization measures. Although the two sides seem to have different opinions on purpose, there is a big difference between means and modes. China and Russia are now close to the DPRK, while the South Korean side is close to the US side. Therefore, in the process of denuclearization of the peninsula, there may be fierce competition between the two sides on this issue. What role did China play in the decision of the DPRK? Wang Peng: Yes. China has always been the core and most important promoter of the transition of the peninsula. At present, the overall situation is better, China can not fail. Guo Rui: China has played an important role in the process of the obvious easing of the situation on the peninsula. The attitude of the DPRK has changed significantly and made a major metamorphosis in the first place, indicating that the DPRK has accepted and accepted the consistent proposal by the Chinese side. The source of this article: surging news editor: Yang Qiang _NN6027 Wang Peng: Yes, this can be seen as the beginning of the phased and synchronous denuclearization measures. Although the two sides seem to have different opinions on purpose, there is a big difference between means and modes. China and Russia are now close to the DPRK, while the South Korean side is close to the US side. Therefore, in the process of denuclearization of the peninsula, there may be fierce competition between the two sides on this issue. What role did China play in the decision of the DPRK? Wang Peng: Yes. China has always been the core and most important promoter of the transition of the peninsula. At present, the overall situation is better, China can not fail. Guo Rui: China has played an important role in the process of the obvious easing of the situation on the peninsula. The attitude of the DPRK has changed significantly and made a major metamorphosis in the first place, indicating that the DPRK has accepted and accepted the consistent proposal by the Chinese side.