However, for Wen, this meeting with Kim Jong-un will not be easy. Whether Kim Jong-un can be persuaded to take genuine denuclearization measures and successfully mediate the stalled denuclearization negotiations between the United States and North Korea will be the main task of Wens visit here.
The long awaited United States will closely observe the trend of the summit on the other side of the Pacific. Just last week, the White House said it had received a letter from Kim Jong-un to Trump, in which Kim Jong-un offered to hold talks with North Korea again, and the White House was preparing for it.
As for the prospects of denuclearization, Liu Tiancong, an assistant researcher at the Korean Peninsula Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Modern International Relations, told Peng Mei News earlier: The denuclearization issue is the most central issue between the DPRK and the United States, and it is also the issue that most needs leaders to discuss and solve at this level. If the [second] Ginte meeting is to be achieved, it should be possible for the two sides to reach some further concrete compromises on the nuclear issue, at least to show abetter lookingoutcome than the first Ginte meeting.
Liu Tiancong said that if the stalled denuclearization is to be further advanced, the US and the DPRK will need to move in opposite directions, such as reaching some principled consensus on the timetable for denuclearization, the DPRKs commitment to further dismantle nuclear missile-related facilities, or destroy some ballistic missiles, the U.S. establishment of a permanent office in the DPRK, or even to discuss signing the end-of-war. Declaration and so on.
Follow up of top four executives from Samsung and other South Korea
According to South Korean media reports, Wen and Kim Jong-un are expected to have many talks during their three-day visit to the DPRK in order to achieve the important objectives of the talks. Kim Jong-un may also hold a welcoming ceremony for Wen at the airport, and the two may also be staged in a joint mount Paektou.
Yonhap pointed out that in addition to denuclearization, expanding economic cooperation between the ROK and the DPRK is also one of the main topics of the talks. The ROK and DPRK leaders are likely to focus on economic cooperation at the talks.
South Korean heavyweight businesspeople are particularly concerned about the Korean governments list of visiting DPRK. Samsung Electronics Vice President Lee Jae-hoo, SK Group President Choi Tai-yuan, LG Group President Youkuang-mo, Hyundai Automobile Group Vice President Kim Yong-hun and other top executives of the four Korean enterprises in the follow-up list; Kaesong Industrial Park Enterprise Association President Shen Hanlong, Korea Industrial Bank President Lee Dong-jee, as well as Korea Railway Commune, Korea Tourism Commune Other representatives of Korean and Korean cooperation projects, such as the Korean Tourism Development Council (DPRK), have also gone along with them.
The Financial Times reported on the 17th that Wen will urge North Korean leaders to take more action to demonstrate that North Korea is serious about nuclear abandonment, while Kim Jong-un will increase pressure on South Korea to increase economic cooperation with North Korea.
Previously, the South Korean government has always said that economic cooperation between the two Koreas should not violate the international sanctions against the DPRK, but this may become the biggest variable in the issue of economic cooperation between the two Koreas. On the day before Wen visited the DPRK, the United States further increased its pressure on sanctions against the DPRK. On the morning of the 17th, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nicky Haley convened an emergency Security Council meeting, and U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeio also held a press conference to urge the proper implementation of sanctions against the DPRK.
The stalemate between the US and the DPRK and the mediation of Wen Yin Yin
Behind all the demonstrations of unity between the two Koreas, where the two leaders can lead the denuclearization talks will be an important criterion for judging the success of the meeting.
What kind of denuclearization Kim Jong-un can accept in order to continue to show the sincerity of his denuclearization to a patient and seemingly exhausted United States is undoubtedly the most important issue for Wens visit here. The Wall Street Journal reported on the 17th that the South Korean delegation will urge North Korea to provide detailed information about its nuclear arsenal, which is exactly what North Korea was unwilling to do before.
However, the determination to denuclearize North Korea was reconfirmed by Kim Jong-un during his last visit to Pyongyang by a South Korean delegation. Two-thirds of the tunnels in the Fengxili (nuclear test site) have been permanently damaged and will never be able to conduct nuclear tests, Kim told Cheng Yirong, the head of the Qingwatai security department, that the DPRK has taken the necessary steps to denuclearize, but the international community is reluctant to affirm the DPRKs efforts, making it difficult for him. It is hoped that the United States will agree to publish the declaration of final war in accordance with the principle of synchronous action. ?
South Koreas Central Daily analysis said that despite the DPRKs renewed determination to denuclearize, the DPRKs statement in fact issued a declaration of the end of the war before submitting a nuclear list of the established position without any concessions.
Under such circumstances, Mr. Wens mediation is crucial to convince the United States of its determination to denuclearize and to further synchronize its efforts to reassure North Korea.
In addition to discussing the development of bilateral relations, during the planned three-day visit, Wen Jae-in and Kim Jong-un are expected to start talks on formally declaring an end to the Korean War. North Korea believes that the declaration of the end of the war will be an important basis for meeting the security needs of the DPRK and an important signal that the United States is willing to end its hostile policy toward the DPRK.
But the current signal from the United States is that unless Kim Jong-un takes credible measures to denuclearize the United States, the United States is not going to give North Korea the results it wants in signing the declaration.
Good relations between Korea and North Korea make the US and South Korea grow worse.
However, as South Korea actively mediates the stalled denuclearization talks between North Korea and the United States, the United States has raised doubts about the increasingly close relationship between South Korea and North Korea, which may affect the credibility of South Korea as a mediator in the United States.
The Financial Times reported that, despite Trumps announcement that he would like to meet with North Korean leaders again, Mr Wen needs to reassure a considerable number of people in Washington, including Trump administration officials and members of Congress, that Pyongyang is not really intentionally denuclearized --- but that is This is where Wen Yin wants to convince the United States.
North Korea and South Korea opened a liaison office in the north of the Demilitarized Zone on Friday, under an agreement they signed on Friday to arrange between 15 and 20 staff to keep the two countries in touch around the clock, a move that allowed the two countries to open a hotline just months before. The United States is worried.
Some critics believe that the liaison office is equivalent to the embassy. The Liaison Office will be responsible for facilitating all-weather face-to-face communication and providing a concrete symbol of the engagement offensive initiated by the South and North Korean governments this year. That could upset U.S. officials, because if economic co-operation between the two Koreas exceeds U.S. progress toward denuclearization, U.S. chips in nuclear negotiations may be reduced.
Meanwhile, the United States has further intensified its pressure policy to force North Korea to abandon its nuclear and missile programs. U.S. media say the United States is forming a multinational coalition to dramatically increase surveillance of fuel ships smuggled into North Korea in violation of U.N. regulations. The countries that joined the alliance included Britain, Australia, New Zealand, France, Canada and Japan, and South Korea was quietly on the list. Another example of South Koreas disturbance to the United States is that a joint field study of the Korean-Korean railway project was blocked by the United Nations military command last month, and the United States fears that speeding up economic cooperation with North Korea before its denuclearization will reduce the effectiveness of sanctions against the DPRK. Therefore, the Central Daily suggested that too much advance and persistence in economic cooperation between the two Koreas might lead to discord between South Korea and the United States. Wen Yin needs to use most of his power in the three day visit to denuclearization for denuclearization. If progress can be made on this issue, the real spring of reconciliation and development between the two Koreas, led by economic cooperation, will naturally follow. The source of this article: surging news editor: Zhang Xianchao _NN9310
Another example of South Koreas disturbance to the United States is that a joint field study of the Korean-Korean railway project was blocked by the United Nations military command last month, and the United States fears that speeding up economic cooperation with North Korea before its denuclearization will reduce the effectiveness of sanctions against the DPRK.
Therefore, the Central Daily suggested that too much advance and persistence in economic cooperation between the two Koreas might lead to discord between South Korea and the United States. Wen Yin needs to use most of his power in the three day visit to denuclearization for denuclearization. If progress can be made on this issue, the real spring of reconciliation and development between the two Koreas, led by economic cooperation, will naturally follow.