The global tourism industry may lose trillions of US dollars three times. Is there any sign before the bull stocks crash?

category:Finance
 The global tourism industry may lose trillions of US dollars three times. Is there any sign before the bull stocks crash?


It is reported that the heat of Litang has risen sharply since November 20, and by the last week of November, Litang search volume has soared by 620%, quadrupling the national day.

Little brother Ding of Kangba is really popular

It took Ding Zhen more than 20 days to get from the unknown Kangba brother to the top of liuwanghong. Then, Tibet, Shandong, Yunnan, Hubei, Shaanxi, Hunan and other places began to invite Ding Zhen to travel.

In November 11th tiktok Hu Bo made a short video of 7 seconds or so in his voice, smile collector. Brother. In the video, Ding Zhens handsome and pure face, dark skin, clear eyes and simple smile filled the whole screen. At present, the number of likes of this video has reached 2.75 million, and 135000 fans have forwarded it. At present, the number of fans of Litang Dingzhen has reached 1125400.

Ding zhenhuo, together with Ding Zhen, is his hometown Litang County, Ganzi Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, Sichuan Province. On November 15, Ganzi, Sichuan Province, announced that all A-level scenic spots in the whole Prefecture are free of charge. According to Baidu Index, on November 15, Litang Countys search index reached a small peak. Three days later, the youth riding on the grassland became the official staff of Litang culture and tourism in Litang County. On November 18, Ding Zhen signed a formal contract with Litang culture and tourism, a state-owned company under the state owned assets supervision and Administration Commission of Litang County.

Tourism is expected to pick up in the second half of the year

As we all know, Sichuan, Tibet and Yunnan are very rich in tourism resources. However, among the A-share listed companies, only four tourism companies from the above three provinces are Lijiang shares, Yunnan tourism, Emeishan A and Tibet tourism.

Affected by the novel coronavirus pneumonia outbreak this year, global tourism has entered the cold winter. According to the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO), in the first five months of this year, the global tourism industry lost $320 billion in exports, three times that during the global financial crisis in 2009. In 2020, the export revenue of tourism industry is likely to decrease by 910 billion to 1.2 trillion US dollars, and the global GDP may decrease by 1.5 to 2.8 percentage points.

According to the analysis of Chinas domestic tourism development report 2020, the recovery and revitalization of tourism economy in the whole year will be a high probability event. Under the condition of normalization of epidemic prevention and control, the tourism economic operation in the second half of 2020 is relatively optimistic considering macroeconomic and market factors. It is estimated that the number of domestic tourists in the whole year is 3.426 billion, with a year-on-year negative growth of 43%; the domestic tourism revenue is 2.76 trillion yuan, with a negative growth of 52% year-on-year.

The performance of A-share tourism companies has generally declined, which can be described as the worst time in history. According to the statistics of securities times and data treasure, in the first three quarters, the total profit of listed tourism companies was only 1.8 billion yuan, and about 67% of the companys net profit was loss. Among them, tengbang international, Zhongxin tourism, Kaisa tourism, Lingnan holding, Guilin tourism, China Youth Travel and other companies had a net profit loss of more than 100 million yuan. The industry leader, China Immune Regulatory Commission, achieved a profit of 3.164 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 24.93%.

After the overall control of the epidemic situation, the domestic consumption confidence and travel willingness have increased, and the tourism industry has shown a warming trend. According to the calculation of China Tourism Research Institute (data center of the Ministry of culture and Tourism), from October 1 to 8, during the National Day holiday of the Mid Autumn Festival, China received a total of 637 million domestic tourists, a year-on-year recovery of 79% according to the comparable caliber; and the domestic tourism revenue reached 466.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year recovery of 69.9%.

3 times big bull stocks encounter continuous down limit

Rendong holdings opened trading again today and closed at noon with 884800 orders, about 3.14 billion yuan of capital. This is the fifth consecutive limit of Rendong holdings. On November 20, Rendong holdings also set a record high. Since November last year, the largest increase of Rendong holdings once reached 3.62 times. During the period, the trend was comparable to the first-line big white horse stocks, and then Waterloo appeared in an instant.

Yesterday evening, Rendong holdings issued a notice of abnormal stock price fluctuations, saying that on October 30, 2020, the company issued the announcement on overdue bank loans. In view of the overdue loans, the company actively communicated and negotiated with industrial bank, and Rendong information, the major shareholder, also strongly supported the company to solve the debt problem. Now both parties have reached an agreement on repayment plan. By the end of this year, the company will gradually repay the above loans in batches. Up to now, the company has repaid 80 million yuan.

In fact, before this fall, Rendong Holdings has shown signs of the main withdrawal. According to the data, from the beginning of the year to October, the financing balance of Rendong holdings was net inflow. Until November, the net inflow of Rendong holdings changed significantly, and monthly net outflow appeared for the first time in the year. Judging from the change in the number of controlling shareholders of Rendong, at the end of the second quarter, the number of shareholders of the company was only 6638, and the total market value was about 20 billion yuan at that time. For a company with a market value of more than 10 billion yuan, the number of shareholders is so small, which shows that the chips are very concentrated. By the end of the third quarter, the number of shareholders soared to 13090, almost doubling. For investors who pursue higher prices later, they are more likely to buy on the top of the mountain. Among the top ten circulation shareholders, many institutional shareholders have reduced their holdings, while several individual investors have entered the top ten circulation shareholders. In the morning trading today, there were Linhai shares, Longbo technology, Dalian Shengya and so on. Source: Securities Times editor in charge: Yang Bin_ NF4368

In fact, before this fall, Rendong Holdings has shown signs of the main withdrawal. According to the data, from the beginning of the year to October, the financing balance of Rendong holdings was net inflow. Until November, the net inflow of Rendong holdings changed significantly, and monthly net outflow appeared for the first time in the year.

Judging from the change in the number of controlling shareholders of Rendong, at the end of the second quarter, the number of shareholders of the company was only 6638, and the total market value was about 20 billion yuan at that time. For a company with a market value of more than 10 billion yuan, the number of shareholders is so small, which shows that the chips are very concentrated. By the end of the third quarter, the number of shareholders soared to 13090, almost doubling. For investors who pursue higher prices later, they are more likely to buy on the top of the mountain. Among the top ten circulation shareholders, many institutional shareholders have reduced their holdings, while several individual investors have entered the top ten circulation shareholders.