Finally, the US general election has undergone major changes! Chinese people should pay attention to it

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 Finally, the US general election has undergone major changes! Chinese people should pay attention to it


One

Originally, this should be a debate with few Chinese elements.

According to the Convention, entering the critical period in October, the US presidential candidates will have three TV debates. But this year, affected by the epidemic and Trumps rejection of online video debates, the second debate scheduled for last week was canceled.

One of the direct effects is that they are unable to have a more full face-to-face confrontation on diplomatic issues, because that is generally the main topic of the two debates.

A few days ago, trump claimed that the third debate should still focus on foreign policy, but from the perspective of the actual agenda setting: the new epidemic, American family, race, climate change, national security and leadership are still mainly focused on the United States.

Before the debate began, the main focus of the media was how it would affect the current election.

Some US media said this was Trumps last chance to weaken Bidens lead. However, there are also views that the three debates have little impact on the overall election situation, because debates are usually aimed at swing voters who have not yet made a final decision, and there are not many voters: a recent poll by Reuters and others shows that only 8% of voters are still struggling with who to vote for.

Even so, the two parties campaign teams have put in a lot of preparation. Among them, Biden has not arranged any public campaign since the end of last week, but stayed at his home in Wilmington, Delaware, for several days to prepare for war.

At about 10:30 p.m. local time on the 22nd, the debate between the two people lasted for an hour and a half.

Some US media immediately praised Biden, saying that he delivered the strongest performance in the debate of the 2020 election. But there is also recognition of Trumps performance, especially when compared with the first debate in September, a lot more polite..

There are different opinions on who wins and who loses, but observers also have some points of agreement

For example, it is certain that NBC hostess Christine Welks control of the field, such as the static Mai measure, is really effective, that is, one candidates microphone is turned off during the two minute opening speech, so as to avoid the last scuffle scene that frequently interrupts the other party and the audience cant hear anything.

In addition, the candidates of the two parties have involved in Chinas role in many issues, and they have also received widespread attention from the US and European media

On the first issue, Biden criticized trump for being irresponsible and accused him of not sending U.S. officials and experts to Wuhan to investigate. Trump, as always, is not good at fighting the epidemic, and its not my fault, its Chinas fault..

When it comes to national security issues, the two men refer to each other or their families as having business relations with China, attacking each other and conniving at external political interference. The hostess seized the opportunity to ask the two candidates how they would cost China if they were elected.

Trump responded that China has already paid the price of tariffs and other aspects. Biden said Russia, Iran and China are interfering in the U.S. election, and he will ensure that these countries pay the price when he becomes president.

In addition, the two sides also talked about Chinas responsibility in their confrontation on climate change and the North Korean nuclear issue, and their attitudes were relatively negative.

Two

There are 12 days to go before the US presidential election on November 3.

According to the U.S. election plan, about 47.5 million Americans have cast their votes, nearly eight times the number of people who voted early at the same time point before the 2016 election, and more than the total of 47.2 million votes cast in advance before the 2016 election day.

Professor MacDonald of the University of Florida, who is in charge of the American election plan, predicts that the final turnout will reach about 150 million, the highest turnout rate since 1908.

According to the analysis of Reuters, this wave of early voting is due to the consideration of safety under the epidemic situation. Many states have expanded the scale of postal voting and on-site early voting. On the other hand, some voters hope to affect Trumps political future.

Lets look at the specific election.

On October 22nd, Bidens average approval rating was 50.7%, while Trumps was 42.8%, according to the website true and clear politics.

A lot of people think of Hillary Clinton winning the polls and losing the election four years ago.

On October 18, 2016, Hillary Clintons lead in the national average poll was 7.1%, but dropped to 1.3% a few days before election day, finally losing to trump.

Will Bidens lead in the polls today translate into a vote lead? If the vote is really in the lead, will it be converted into the voter vote ahead?

Some U.S. experts believe that historically, American opinion polls can basically reflect the election results. The phenomenon that voters votes are inconsistent with voters votes does not occur many times, and continuous occurrence is a small probability event.

The problem, however, is that American society has been torn apart and political polarization has reached an unprecedented height. This will result in many voters not voting according to the conventional political logic. In this way, polls based on conventional political logic may deviate from the final election results.

Therefore, experts believe that Bidens election results are likely not as good as the poll data show, and Trumps election results are likely not as bad as the poll results. Both still have a chance to win.

Three

Many US and European media have been discussing how the US China policy will be after the election?

The reason is very simple. Both the Democratic Party and the Republican party hold similar negative positions on China. As we have seen, a series of bills related to Taiwan, Xinjiang and Hong Kong introduced recently by the Congress were almost passed by full vote.

No matter who comes to power in the future, it is likely to continue to suppress China, which is also a probable event.

On the other hand, the United States has never stopped its crackdown on China.

A lot of people think its trumps invention, but its not, said fairsbury, a former U.S. defense official who served as Trumps external adviser

In his last two years in office, Obama has developed a new China strategy. He put forward a high-profile rebalancing in the Asia Pacific region, and did a lot of things in the South China Sea and the East China Sea; economically, he launched the Pan Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) in an attempt to isolate China.

Trump is not the first president who wants to protect his countrys economy with tariffs, and Biden will not be the first to remove trade barriers, German economic weekly quoted economist Everett as saying. No matter who the next president is, he will, like all his predecessors, follow the national interest in trade policy. Whats going to change is just how he wraps up his purpose and how he sells it on the world stage. We know that trump is at least the louder of the two

If trump is re elected, according to past experience, without re-election pressure, he is likely to let go and accumulate more political heritage.

Trump said in an interview before he took office in the White House that one of the magic weapons of his business career is that the worse the market is, the more opportunities there are to make profits. There is no chance of making big money in a stable market. According to this, some experts estimate that trump will further act as a troublemaker, subversion and shock in Sino US relations, and seek the maximum political and economic interests in the confusion and doubt.

What if Biden came to power?

China does pose a rising challenge, which is probably the biggest challenge we face from another country, whether it is economic, technological, military or even diplomatic, BLANKEN said very clearly

The challenges posed by China are becoming more and more severe, which can be described as the biggest challenge that we face from another nation-state, he told the American Chamber of Commerce. I think the problem is not who is tough on China or weak on China, but who can come up with the most effective strategy to protect and improve our security, prosperity and values.

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u5811557,container:ssp_ 5811557, async:true }Yes, there are frictions between China and the United States, but these are only between China and the United States, not between China and the world. Although the impact of Sino US relations is indeed great, it can only be regarded as a part of Chinas overall foreign layout. The supply chain and industrial chain formed over the past few decades can not be changed in four or eight years if one or two presidents want to change it. We need to maintain strategic self-confidence and strategic determination. Recognize the general trend, adhere to opening up to the outside world, promote internal reform, and finally use high-quality development to counter those arbitrary pressures. Source: Global Times editor in charge: Qin bailing_ NB17208

We need to maintain strategic self-confidence and strategic determination. Recognize the general trend, adhere to opening up to the outside world, promote internal reform, and finally use high-quality development to counter those arbitrary pressures.