India and the United States will sign a military cooperation agreement, but both sides have left a hand

category:Military
 India and the United States will sign a military cooperation agreement, but both sides have left a hand


Data map.

Over the past few days, the governments of the United States and India have been keeping a high profile. The two countries will sign the basic exchange and cooperation agreement on geospatial Cooperation (bcea).

Some international public opinions predict that this will make India US military cooperation climb to the fourth floor.

The third play of 2 + 2

November 3 is the election day of the United States, and Trumps confidants have become increasingly busy recently: from October 26 to 27, Secretary of state pompeio and defense minister esper will fly to New Delhi, the capital of India, to attend the third US India 2 + 2 Ministerial Conference, to meet with Indian foreign ministers s Jaishankar and defense minister Rajnath Singh, and visit India Prime Minister modi.

Since then, pompeio will continue to visit Sri Lanka, Maldives and Indonesia.

In this series of compact itineraries, the trip to India is undoubtedly the most important one, for which both sides have done a lot of preparation.

In February this year, trump visited India, and the two sides stressed in the joint statement that we look forward to the early arrival of bcea; in the third week of June, pompeio met with jashankar; shortly after that, the head of the US National Security Agency (NSA), Ajit doval, Indias national security adviser, mark amilley, chairman of the United States Federation of participants, and Indias general manager, Mr. pompeio met with jashankar General Gen Bipin Rawat, chief of staff, also held bilateral talks.

In the second week of July, esper and Singh exchanged telephone calls; a few days ago, India announced that it would invite Australia to participate in the Malabar naval exercise to be held in the bay of Bengal in November; last week, U.S. Deputy Secretary of state Bigan visited India to set the stage for 2 + 2, and threatened that every major bilateral cooperation agreement between the United States and India in the past 20 years has made the relationship between each other better.

In the past 20 years, India and the United States have signed three key military agreements: gsomia in 2002, lemoa in 2016 and comcasa in 2018.

These bilateral military cooperation agreements focus on cooperation in information, intelligence and communication.

Gsomia is only the most basic military mutual trust agreement between countries; lemoa involves mutual opening of each others military bases and military logistics systems, which shows that the mutual trust between the two sides is enhanced to open the door to each other and accept the visits of other military forces.

Comcasa means that the two armies and major military equipment have established an encrypted communication system linking each other; as for bcea, it means that both sides can share highly confidential information in real time without fear of being calculated by the other party.

The four agreements represent different levels of military cooperation. At the bcea level, the two sides have reached the level of quasi allies in military information exchange at least in theory.

It is for this reason that Reuters used the headline India has abandoned its consistent position of non alignment in reporting the news.

Some critics said that although the move did not involve a single shot, it meant that India US military cooperation climbed to the fourth floor.

Data map / Beijing News

Each has its own abacus

2 + 2 is pompeios last major foreign affairs activity before the US election, and the trump administrations attention to bcea is indeed beyond the standard.

This is not surprising.

The so-called Indo Pacific strategy was pushed forward by trump after he came to power, and it is also one of the rare self created concepts in the diplomatic field that he is generally not good at. It is not too much to say that India Pacific strategy is the theme word of Trumps global diplomatic strategy.

Now the general election is approaching, but the election sentiment is still clinging. Under the circumstances of the new crown epidemic, the binary opposition in the United States, and the internal affairs topic, it is of great importance to seize the last moment, take advantage of the major breakthrough of the India Pacific strategy to set up a monument for our first four years, so as to set up a performance Lighthouse to light up the second four years Yes.

Whats more, the trump administration clearly regards the comprehensive containment and confrontation against China as another theme of the U.S. global strategy, and tries to link the two themes together. It seems to be the right time to pull India into the chariot of confrontation between the United States and China while India and China are confronting each other in the western border zone.

In addition to the Chinese factor, the United States also hopes to increase the penetration of bcea into the market and system of India, the worlds second most populous country; and pull Indias military, information and communication and other key industries into the U.S. system through information node replacement, so as to dump more U.S. systems and equipment to the coveted Indian market to slow down its own economy as pressing danger.

On the Indian side, modis life is not easy because of the economic downturn, the intensification of social contradictions, the serious resistance to various reforms, and the out of control epidemic situation.

In order to transfer the contradictions, he and his peoples party continuously increased the stimulation of nationalism and tried to transfer domestic pressure by provoking border conflicts.

However, contrary to our wishes, India suffered heavy tangible and intangible losses and suffered the heaviest practical and psychological impact since the Sino Indian border war in 1962. This made India in a dilemma and began to take the so-called equipment gap between China and China seriously.

From the perspective of long-term data sharing between China and India, China and India can not be satisfied by the 34km long agreement between China and India.

Through bcea, India can share the high-end satellite images and telecommunication interception achievements of the United States, and improve the accuracy of Indias communication equipment and guidance weapons.

In the Sino Indian border confrontation area, Indian military has deployed at least five kinds of American heavy equipment: C-17 heavy transport aircraft, CH-47 transport helicopter, AH-64 armed helicopter, p-8i electronic reconnaissance aircraft and c-130i tactical transport aircraft. The Indian government and military hope that with the help of bcea, these American style equipment can be equipped with thousand mile eyes and ears to play a greater role in confronting China.

Source: Beijing News.

The effect is questionable

Some Indian analysts pointed out that similar India US military cooperation had been in full swing for a while since the Sino Indian border war in 1962, but it did not play a significant role even in the face of Chinas economic difficulties, backward military equipment and scientific and technological level.

Nowadays, Chinas economic, military and scientific and technological levels have been advancing by leaps and bounds. Indias backwardness relative to China is an all-round and systematic backwardness. Specifically, at the military level, it is the huge gap in military strategic thinking, equipment system, logistics support system, especially in military equipment self-sufficiency and military science and technology research and development support capability. These are not what bcea can make up for.

Bcea mainly involves communication, intelligence, electronic radar and other fields, namely the so-called combat power multiplier.

The problem is that Indias military machinery is still made in ten thousand countries and not in a system. India cant afford to replace all the American weapons. The United States only wants to pull India into the chariot, and take the opportunity to sell arms to get rich, only sell the expensive ones, not the right ones.. It is a case in point that the F21 fighter, which has been trying to sell tailored for India on the basis of the outdated F16.

If the benchmark combat power is 1 or even 0, how can it be multiplied?

More importantly, both the United States and India have left a hand with each other.

Although the United States has a high-profile and fierce singing, it is not so confident about India, which has always been on the right and left. The recent series of pressure on Indias insistence on importing Russian made S-400 surface to air missiles clearly shows this kind of heart knot.

After all, the purpose of the United States to win over India is to serve its own global strategy, especially the India Pacific strategy, rather than turning the Indian Ocean into an Indian Ocean and turning the Indian subcontinent into an Indian subcontinent - but this is the common idea of the Indian government and the public.

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u5811557,container:ssp_ 5811557, async:true }By the way, India will never give up the banner of nonalignment, because only by holding high the banner can Indian leaders and domestic people feel the supreme glory of a powerful country with sound and color: India does not want to be the little brother of the United States in the Indian Ocean, it is born to be the leading role. Domestic political factors in the United States should not be ignored. If the general election on November 3 ends in Trumps defeat, the succeeding democratic government will surely return to the return to the Asia Pacific strategy of the Obama era, and transfer its strategic center to the Western Pacific, to Guam and the Japan US South Korea triangle. Even if trump is re elected, due to the situation and pressure, he is also bound to make major adjustments to the global strategy and the defense team. With Trumps fickleness, Im afraid everything will have to start over again. Tao Jianfang (columnist) editor: Chen Jing proofread by: Wei Zhuo source: responsible editor of Beijing News: Yao Wenguang_ NN1682

By the way, India is not willing to give up the banner of non alignment, because only by holding this flag high can Indian leaders and domestic people feel the supreme glory of a powerful country: India does not want to be the little brother of the United States in the Indian Ocean, it is born to be the leading role.

Domestic political factors in the United States should not be ignored.

If the general election on November 3 ends in Trumps defeat, the succeeding democratic government will surely return to the return to the Asia Pacific strategy of the Obama era, and transfer its strategic center to the Western Pacific, to Guam and the Japan US South Korea triangle.

Even if trump is re elected, due to the situation and pressure, he is also bound to make major adjustments to the global strategy and the defense team. With Trumps fickleness, Im afraid everything will have to start over again.

Tao Jianfang (columnist)

Editor: Chen Jing proofread by Wei Zhuo