Wang Qingwei said that from March to April this year, Chinas seaborne cargo volume has been steadily increasing, especially after entering the third quarter, the increase has been significantly accelerated, which also led to the phenomenon that one hold is difficult to obtain.
Wang Qingwei, for example, said: last time a friend of mine asked if he could help him to transport the goods out. He ordered the cargo space abroad. We mainly take the domestic booking as the standard. We will give priority to the goods that are ordered at home. If it is a foreign booking space, you can get on board if there is spare space. If not, you must dump your cargo. My customers have been dumped.
The so-called dumping, the professional saying is to dump the container, generally in the case of explosion, the shipping company will refuse to accept the surplus goods on board.
According to the data of the General Administration of customs, the total value of Chinas import and export reached 8.88 trillion yuan in the third quarter of this year, with a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, including 5 trillion yuan of export, 10.2% growth, and 3.88 trillion yuan of import, an increase of 4.3%. In the third quarter, the total value of import and export, total value of export and total value of import all reached a record high in the quarter.
Chinas monthly total value of import and export over the past year (unit: US $100 million) (Note: the total value in February 2020 is accumulated from January to February)
With the rapid increase of the export volume of goods, there is a new abnormal situation in the industry: some cargo export enterprises can book the shipping companys shipping space, but the loading containers are in short supply.
Liu Jun introduced that according to the process of cargo export, after the export enterprise has successfully ordered the shipping space with the shipping company, the shipping company will send a shipping space order to the export enterprise. After receiving the booking form, the latter can reasonably arrange the time to pick up the container at the designated place according to the ship owners closing time, and drag the container to the loading place for container loading. But now after the export enterprises get the booking list, they often cant pick up the cabinet when they go to the wharf, which is a serious problem.
Photo source: Photo Gallery
Now the biggest contradiction is that you have a cabin, but you dont have a cabinet. At present, the whole market, especially the Pearl River Delta area, is the most short of shipping cabinets. This is not the case with one or two shipping companies. No matter how large or small the shipping companies are, they are basically short of cabinets. Liu Jun said that before rarely encountered such a sudden lack of cabinets, this time the time is not long, is the last one or two weeks to start.
Under the influence of many factors, such as the rapid increase of export freight volume and the serious shortage of containers, the shipping price has also begun to rise all the way.
Wang Qingwei told reporters that in previous years, the price of a shipping container was generally 1000-2000 US dollars. In the first half of this year, it rose to 2000-3000 US dollars, and in the second half of this year, it has risen to 3000-4000 US dollars (about 20000-27000 yuan).
China export container freight composite index
Liu Jun also said that the price of sea transportation has risen a little bit, double the price of last year. In the last week, the price of containers in some places has increased by 200-300 US dollars, or about 5% - 10%.
From the reporters interview, industry insiders generally believe that in the next few months, the situation of shipping price increase will continue.
The price of export freight in the fourth quarter is likely to rise. Wang Qingwei said that judging from the changes in the epidemic situation in foreign countries, another peak may appear in the fourth quarter of this year. India and other regions that could have supplied goods may not be able to start normal operations due to epidemic prevention and control. Therefore, for Chinese export enterprises, the consumption demand in the overseas market will not decrease, but may increase. Recently, some customers have reported that they have begun to receive orders transferred from India and other countries. This situation may even be further aggravated in the future.
I know that some orders originally belonging to third countries have begun to move to the country. Many of my customers have seen a significant increase in shipments compared to the first half of the year. Liu said that with the coming of Christmas and new years day, the demand for goods in foreign markets will further increase. In the case of limited maritime transport capacity, the transportation price will continue to rise.
Liu added that, in terms of the serious shortage of containers, even if shipping companies urgently purchase containers, the market also needs 2-3 months of production period, and the market will still be in short-term short-term supply shortage. In the case of high shipping price and limited routes, it is difficult to fill the gap of capacity for the time being.
For example, COSCOs closing price on May 22 was 3.14 yuan, which rose to 6.25 yuan last week, up 99%. Reporter Li Biao editor Chen Xu Sun Zhi Cheng Xiao Yong Wang Jiaqi proofread Cheng Peng extended reading EF education response foreign teachers involved in shooting pornographic videos of young girls: the iPhone 12 has been terminated and its popularity has not been reduced on the first day, and the price has been increased by 1500 yuan. This article is from the first chip University of Nanjing integrated circuit University Source: daily economic news editor in charge: Yang Bin_ NF4368
For example, COSCOs closing price on May 22 was 3.14 yuan, which rose to 6.25 yuan last week, up 99%.