There were a lot of people looking at houses in September, but the list of transactions was not as much as that of the previous two months. A real estate agent in Beijings Xicheng District is still reviewing the wave of home buying before the end of July.
Previously, Xicheng District of Beijing stipulated that, after July 31, 2020, all school-age children who purchased houses and obtained housing property right certificates in Xicheng District will enroll in the school district or adjacent school districts in the form of multi school division when they apply for admission to primary school. Subsequently, Beijing Xicheng District property market set off a wave of buying houses.
The phenomenon of not buying a house is not only seen in Beijing. According to the data released by the shell Research Institute on September 28, 2019 as the base period, the subscription ratio index of new houses in 100 cities in China increased significantly in September. Pan Hao, a senior analyst at Shell Research Institute, explained that the higher the index is, the more difficult it is to trade. In other words, he has taken a large number of customers, but none of them has been closed.
There are some fluctuations in this index in the early stage. When we counted last week (the third week of September), the value rose very much, mainly because of the wait-and-see mood before the festival. Therefore, we are looking forward to whether the real estate enterprises will have more promotional efforts during the 11 period. Pan Hao said.
There are still some, but the data is not warm.
Photo: a residential building in Hangzhou. Photo by Guo Qiyu
In the 38th week (September 14-20), the overall second-hand housing market in key cities continued to cool down, with a 9% month on month decrease in transactions. Among the 18 cities that Shell Research Institute focuses on, 14 cities have a month on month decline in real transactions of second-hand houses, and Langfang, Yantai, Qingdao and other cities have a month on month decrease of more than 10%. Among the first tier cities, Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen have been restored at a low level, while Guangzhous high level has fallen.
But the real estate enterprises did not seem to be discouraged, but opened the replenishment mode.
In the golden nine silver ten stage of the property market, the potential demand for house purchase is still relatively large, and the control of pre-sale certificates in various regions is also less, so developers still have relatively high expectations for the transactions in the real estate market. Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of E-House Research Institute, told chinanews.com that although the local policies have become stricter, pre-sale is still relatively loose, including in Beijing and Shenzhen.
New house transaction small peak or support silver ten
It is true that the enthusiasm of home buyers is heating up. According to the national monitoring data of anjuke Real Estate Research Institute, in the third quarter, the heat of new house search in the areas around Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou Shenzhen rose by 27.4% over the same period of last year. Compared with the same period of last year, the heat of looking for new houses in Xian, Chengdu, Changsha, Hangzhou, Nanjing and Dongguan increased by more than 20%.
In addition, the popularity of second-hand housing in Beijing and Shanghai increased by more than 30% year-on-year, while that of Chengdu, Xian and Changsha increased by more than 10%.
A number of institutions are expected to see a wave of new housing transactions in the golden week of the 11th to support the silver ten of the property market. However, under the pressure of three stabilities and regulation, it is difficult for the new housing market to exceed the expected performance in the fourth quarter, and the expected trading volume is the same as that of the same period last year.
Just need will become a new market power. According to the seasonal rotation law of demand, the market needs to be levered at the beginning of the year, then to improve the wheel movement, and by the end of the year, the demand release is weak, and the proportion of demand has just picked up. According to the shell Research Institute, from the second-hand housing belt, it can be seen that since August, the proportion of customers who have seen the demand of the newly needed houses under 90 square meters has been rising, and the demand in the four seasons has gradually shifted to the demand. As for the housing price, yanyuejin believes that the current Chinese real estate market has entered the traditional golden nine silver ten stage, and the supply of property market in various regions has increased and the promotion pace has been accelerated obviously. From this perspective, there is still a possibility of further cooling down in housing prices. For real estate enterprises, the initiative to reduce prices and give benefits to buyers can accelerate the inventory removal of projects, and thus contribute to the growth of performance and the cooling of relevant urban housing prices. Super gold week is on. Have you gone to the house? Shop in the window or chop hands immediately? Extended reading double Holiday Express too hard: hairy crab sitting in the special plane moon cake home door to collect a market value of 10 trillion into these companies bowl! Have you ever bought it? Chat shares become chat fund fund fly into ordinary peoples homes source: responsible editor of China News Network: Yang Qian_ NF4425
Just demand will become a new driving force for the market. According to the law of seasonal rotation of demand, at the beginning of the year, just need to leverage the market, then to improve the rotation, by the end of the year, the demand for improvement will release weakness, and the proportion of rigid demand will rise. According to the shell Research Institute, judging from the distribution of second-hand housing belts, since August, the proportion of customers who have seen rigid demand houses below 90 square meters has stopped falling, and the demand in the fourth quarter is gradually inclined to the rigid demand.
As for housing prices, Yan Yuejin believes that the current Chinese real estate market has entered the traditional golden nine silver ten stage, with the increase of real estate supply and the obvious acceleration of promotion rhythm. From this point of view, there is still the possibility of further cooling house prices. For the real estate enterprises, the initiative to reduce the price and give the buyer interest can speed up the destocking of the project, which will help to promote the growth of performance and the cooling of house prices in related cities.
Super golden week has opened. Have you been to the house? Window shopping or chop hands immediately?