There may be a new round of turbulence after Abes sudden curtain call, leaving three big questions for Japanese political circles

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 There may be a new round of turbulence after Abes sudden curtain call, leaving three big questions for Japanese political circles


According to Japanese media reports, Abe underwent two physical examinations this month and his condition is hardly optimistic. He judged that he would not be prime minister again. According to some sources within Abes government, Abes appetite has been poor recently and his face has been exhausted during meetings.

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe held a press conference at the prime ministers residence on the afternoon of 28th. He officially announced his resignation for health reasons and said that he would continue to perform his duties until his successor was elected. (Xinhua news agency, photo of pool, photo by Frank Robison)

Analysts pointed out that the long-term governance of Abes government was the result of the opposition partys failure and the peoples negative choice. The self indulgent attitude of the LDP and the corruption scandal of the government caused by the long-term ruling have already aroused public dissatisfaction.

According to Japanese media reports, the LDP has decided to hold a presidential election in September. As the ruling coalition of the LDP and the Komeito party has an absolute advantage in the parliament, the new LDP president will replace Abe as the new Prime Minister of Japan. Abe will not set up an acting prime minister before the new prime minister forms a cabinet, and will continue to be the prime minister.

At present, there are two schemes for the election of the president of the LDP: one is a conventional one, which is elected by the members of the Parliament and the house of representatives of the party and the grassroots local Party members; the other is that, considering the new epidemic situation and other factors, there is no voting link for local Party members at the grass-roots level, which is directly elected by members of Parliament and representatives of local LDP organizations.

On August 28, an electronic screen in Tokyo, Japan, showed a picture of Shinzo Abe attending the press conference. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe held a press conference at the prime ministers residence on the afternoon of 28th. He officially announced his resignation for health reasons and said that he would continue to perform his duties until his successor was elected. (Photo by Du Xiaoyi, Xinhua News Agency)

Analysts pointed out that Shi pengmao, the representative of the anti Abe forces within the LDP, the leader of the LDPs government affairs investigation, Mr. Kan Yiwei, the Chief Cabinet Secretary, and Taro Aso, Deputy Prime Minister and finance minister, are all powerful candidates. Shi pengmao is popular at the grass-roots level of the LDP, and local Party members have the advantage. However, due to the lack of support from the main faction of the LDP, he is at a disadvantage in the parliamentary votes. Ishida and others, on the contrary, dominate in the votes of members of Parliament, but have low popularity at the grassroots level.

Analysts say that if the first conventional plan is adopted, Shi pengmao can coerce the grassroots public opinion to check and balance the factional faction within the party, and the chances of winning are greater; if the second option is adopted, the major factional faction within the LDP may launch a fierce power struggle. As the number of MPS of Abes faction is the largest, the candidates supported by Abe have a greater chance of winning.

What are the variables of Japans domestic and foreign policies in the future

Since Abe came to power again in 2012, Japans domestic and foreign policies have maintained a strong consistency, reflecting a strong Abe color. Economically, abenomics, loose monetary policy, active fiscal policy and systematic structural reform have been carried out. In domestic affairs, conservative policies frequently appeared to get rid of the post-war system by lifting the right of collective self-defense and passing security related bills. In diplomacy, we should strengthen the US Japan alliance and carry out value diplomacy to enhance Japans international status.

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u5811557,container:ssp_ 5811557, async:true }On August 28th, an electronic stock index display on the street of Tokyo showed that the stock market index fell sharply at about 2:00 p.m. due to the resignation of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe or for health reasons. (Photo by Du Xiaoyi, a reporter from Xinhua News Agency) the future trend of Japans domestic and foreign affairs will depend on who will succeed the prime minister. If Amanda and others take over, Abes domestic and foreign policies will be largely inherited. If Ishikawa stands out, Japans domestic and foreign policies may undergo a series of adjustments. Analysts point out that in any case, the calm situation in Japans political arena has been broken in recent years. Since Abe came to power, the LDP in Japanese political arena has been dominated by one party, and Abe monopolized the power of the LDP, and the strong government has made the Japanese political arena highly stable. With Abes sudden curtain call, all factions of the LDP are bound to compete fiercely, and the struggle between the ruling and opposition parties will enter a new situation. After the loss of strong leaders, Japans political arena may enter a period of turbulence. Source: Xinhua full Media Editor: Xu Meng_ NN7485

On August 28, an electronic stock index display on the street of Tokyo, Japan, showed that the stock market index fell sharply at about 2 p.m. due to the influence of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abes resignation or for health reasons. (Photo by Du Xiaoyi, Xinhua News Agency)

The future trend of Japans domestic and foreign affairs will depend on who will succeed the prime minister. If Amanda and others take over, Abes domestic and foreign policies will be largely inherited. If Ishikawa stands out, Japans domestic and foreign policies may undergo a series of adjustments.

Analysts point out that in any case, the calm situation in Japans political arena has been broken in recent years. Since Abe came to power, the LDP in Japanese political arena has been dominated by one party, and Abe monopolized the power of the LDP, and the strong government has made the Japanese political arena highly stable. With Abes sudden curtain call, all factions of the LDP are bound to compete fiercely, and the struggle between the ruling and opposition parties will enter a new situation. After the loss of strong leaders, Japans political arena may enter a period of turbulence.