There may be a new round of turbulence after Abes sudden curtain call, leaving three big questions for Japanese political circles

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 There may be a new round of turbulence after Abes sudden curtain call, leaving three big questions for Japanese political circles


According to Japanese media reports, Abe underwent two physical examinations this month and his condition is hardly optimistic. He judged that he would not be prime minister again. According to some sources within Abes government, Abes appetite has been poor recently and his face has been exhausted during meetings.

In addition to the health situation, Abes government has been suffering a lot recently. Affected by the new crown epidemic, Japans economy suffered a severe setback. Many people believe that Abes government has not been able to cope with the epidemic. Recent public opinion polls show that Abes governments support rate may reach a new low since he took office in 2012.

Analysts pointed out that the long-term governance of Abes government was the result of the opposition partys failure and the peoples negative choice. The self indulgent attitude of the LDP and the corruption scandal of the government caused by the long-term ruling have already aroused public dissatisfaction.

Who will be the successor

According to Japanese media reports, the LDP has decided to hold a presidential election in September. As the ruling coalition of the LDP and the Komeito party has an absolute advantage in the parliament, the new LDP president will replace Abe as the new Prime Minister of Japan. Abe will not set up an acting prime minister before the new prime minister forms a cabinet, and will continue to be the prime minister.

According to Japanese media, the LDP will decide what kind of program and agenda to adopt at the LDP high-level meeting on September 1. Judging from the characteristics of the main candidates, the election plan will have a key impact on the election results of the president.

On August 28, an electronic screen in Tokyo, Japan, showed a picture of Shinzo Abe attending the press conference. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe held a press conference at the prime ministers residence on the afternoon of 28th. He officially announced his resignation for health reasons and said that he would continue to perform his duties until his successor was elected. (Photo by Du Xiaoyi, Xinhua News Agency)

Analysts say that if the first conventional plan is adopted, Shi pengmao can coerce the grassroots public opinion to check and balance the factional faction within the party, and the chances of winning are greater; if the second option is adopted, the major factional faction within the LDP may launch a fierce power struggle. As the number of MPS of Abes faction is the largest, the candidates supported by Abe have a greater chance of winning.

What are the variables of Japans domestic and foreign policies in the future

Since Abe came to power again in 2012, Japans domestic and foreign policies have maintained a strong consistency, reflecting a strong Abe color. Economically, abenomics, loose monetary policy, active fiscal policy and systematic structural reform have been carried out. In domestic affairs, conservative policies frequently appeared to get rid of the post-war system by lifting the right of collective self-defense and passing security related bills. In diplomacy, we should strengthen the US Japan alliance and carry out value diplomacy to enhance Japans international status.

On August 28, an electronic stock index display on the street of Tokyo, Japan, showed that the stock market index fell sharply at about 2 p.m. due to the influence of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abes resignation or for health reasons. (Photo by Du Xiaoyi, Xinhua News Agency)

The future trend of Japans domestic and foreign affairs will depend on who will succeed the prime minister. If Amanda and others take over, Abes domestic and foreign policies will be largely inherited. If Ishikawa stands out, Japans domestic and foreign policies may undergo a series of adjustments.