How much political legacy does Abe leave behind in his resignation? Who will take over? Read and understand one article

 How much political legacy does Abe leave behind in his resignation? Who will take over? Read and understand one article

Photo by Guo Dan, a reporter from Xinhua News Agency

News, immediately triggered media focus, Tokyo stock market fell.

Novel coronavirus pneumonia and epidemic situation are facing new problems such as the new crown pneumonia epidemic and the economic downturn. Analysts have pointed out that Andouble abruptly announced his resignation, which will make Japans political arena no leader in any way, and increase the uncertainty in the political, economic and social fields. On the other hand, it will also rapidly increase the battle surrounding Andoubles successors.

This is Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister of Japan, filmed at the scene of the LDP president election in Tokyo on September 20, 2018. Photo by Du Xiaoyi, a reporter from Xinhua News Agency

The longest prime minister to resign

Yesterday Once More

According to Kyodo news agency, officials of Abes regime disclosed that Abe decided to resign because he was worried that his health would deteriorate and that it would be difficult for him to continue to serve as prime minister.

Affected by this news, the two major stock indexes of Tokyo stock market fell significantly on August 28, with the Nikkei 225 Stock average price index falling 1.41% and the Tokyo Stock Exchange stock price index falling 0.68%.

On April 7, 2020, in Osaka, Japan, the electronic display screen shows the news of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abes emergency declaration. Xinhua / Kyodo

This scene seems familiar. On September 12, 2007, Abe, who took office only 366 days ago, suddenly announced his resignation because of ulcerative enteritis.

Two major factors have led to the Japanese societys psychological preparation for Abes resignation again recently.

First, in May this year, due to the poor response to the new crown epidemic and other reasons, Abes cabinet support rate fell below the danger line of 30% in some opinion polls, and has been flying at low altitude ever since.

However, Abe has always regarded his sudden resignation in 2007 as an insult to his political career. Previously, most Japanese public opinion had expected Abe to remain prime minister until the end of his LDP presidency in September next year.

An inventory of Abes political heritage

Abes long-term governance has left a strong mark on Japans politics and society. Abes passing away with the crown brings a lot of suspense about the future trend of Japans domestic and foreign affairs. In terms of internal affairs, Abes biggest long cherished wish is to amend the peace constitution and get rid of the post-war system. Although he has made some progress in loosening Japans military ties, such as revising the three principles of arms export, lifting the ban on collective self-defense, and passing security related bills, he has made limited progress in amending the Constitution and has not received wide support from the people. In terms of economy, Abe implemented loose fiscal and monetary policies and carried out abenomics. Although it has stimulated the Japanese economy to a certain extent, with the rise of unilateralism and protectionism, globalization has suffered a cold wave, and Japans export dependent economy has been hit. The new epidemic situation since this year has made the Japanese economy worse. In terms of diplomacy, Abes long cherished diplomacy with Russia and North Korea has not made a breakthrough, while the relations between Japan and South Korea have been in a downturn for a long time due to issues such as comfort women, labor and trade ban; and the diplomacy with the United States is also facing uncertainty due to the uncertain prospect of the US election. At the social level, Japans new crown epidemic continues to have a low fever. As of August 27, more than 60000 cases have been confirmed. Affected by the epidemic situation, although the Tokyo Olympic Games have been postponed to next summer, the prospect of holding the Games is still unclear.

On March 24, 2020, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe held a telephone conversation with President Bach of the International Olympic Committee. Both sides reached an agreement that the Tokyo Olympic Games would be postponed to 2021. Xinhua / Kyodo

Abe has also caused a lot of controversy in his long-term governance. The forced promotion of the specific Secret Protection Act, the security related bill and the conspiracy crime bill have been opposed by the public. A series of scandals, such as senyouhe Jiaji School Park and Cherry Blossom Appreciation Club, also make Abe face strong doubts. On the political level, after Abes resignation, the long-term dominance situation of Abe and his faction in the LDP may change, and there may be a large reshuffle and reorganization in the LDP, which will add a lot of uncertainty to the Japanese political arena.

Who will take over? There is still suspense

On May 21, 2020, in Tokyo, Japan, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe (first from the left) announced that the state of emergency in Osaka Prefecture, Kyoto Prefecture and Hyogo County in Kansai region would be lifted, while the four capital counties including Tokyo and Hokkaido would continue to maintain the state of emergency. Xinhua / Kyodo

It is still in doubt who will fill Abes vacancy. In the post Abe era, the more competitive LDP government should include: Shi bomao, former Secretary of the LDP; Mr. Ishida, former foreign minister and LDP government investigation director; Kan Yiwei, Abes long-term political ally and Chief Cabinet Secretary; MaoMu minchong, Minister of foreign affairs and acting director of the LDP, acting as Tanaka; and Defense Minister Taro Kono. In addition, Junichiro Koizumi, the son of former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi and environment minister, also has some public opinions. Among them, as Abes biggest opponent in the party, Shi pengmao once surpassed Abe in recent opinion polls. As for the uncertain succession situation, some Japanese experts also commented that Abe could not feel the willingness to cultivate successors, which made the LDP lose its function of making leaders emerge one after another.

Previously reported:

Japanese media said Abe plans to resign: old problem ulcerative colitis is worsening

Photo: Shinzo Abe (Jishi news agency)

Overseas network, August 28 (Xinhua) according to the Japanese Broadcasting Association (NHK) reported on the 28th, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe will resign as Prime Minister for fear that the deterioration of his physical condition will affect the handling of state affairs.

According to the report, Abe will hold a press conference on the evening of the 28th to personally explain the reasons for his resignation. Prior to this, Abe had two consecutive visits to the hospital for physical examination this month. Japanese media said that the inspection results showed that Abes old problem of ulcerative colitis was worsening, and Abe decided to resign as prime minister in order to avoid affecting national politics and other issues.

Abes ulcerative colitis is a chronic disease. He went to Qingying university hospital twice on the 17th and 24th of this month, and the news about his poor health has never been stopped. On the 17th inspection, he once explained to reporters that in order to ensure health management, accepted the examination.. Within the Japanese government and the ruling party, there are different opinions on Abes health.

In December 2007, Abe, who became Prime Minister for the first time, announced his resignation because of the deterioration of his health. At that time, he did not find any signs, which surprised many media. Abe has been serving as Prime Minister for 2799 consecutive days as of May 24 local time, surpassing his grandfathers consecutive tenure of office, a new record.

Japanese media said Taro Aso may take over the new president of the LDP, and his hot successors have these

If Abe resigns, the LDP urgently needs to elect its next president. The new presidents term will continue for the rest of Abes term, which is until the end of September 2021.

Shi bomao, a former LDP secretary, is regarded as a strong candidate for competition. Mr. Ishida, the head of the Political Consultative Conference, is also exploring the way to take office. In addition, Kan Yiwei, Chief Cabinet Secretary, and Taro Aso, Deputy Prime Minister and finance minister, are also candidates for the new president.

Shinzo Abe will remain in office until a new prime minister is appointed

According to the Beijing News, Shinzo Abe was born on September 21, 1954 in Tokyo, Japan, and began to work in politics in November 1982. In September 2006, Abe, 52, was elected president of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), and later was elected Prime Minister of Japan, becoming the first postwar born and youngest prime minister in Japan. But a year later, Abe resigned as Prime Minister for personal health reasons.

Until September 2012, Abe was elected president of the LDP again, becoming the first former LDP president to return. In December, the LDP won the house election and Abe became prime minister again. Since then, Abe has been successively elected president of the LDP in 2015 and 2018, and his term of office will last until the end of September 2021.

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u5811557,container:ssp_ 5811557, async:true }Source: Xinhua International headline editor: Lin Qihui_ NB13068