Abe or a designated successor: the finance minister was held in secret last night

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 Abe or a designated successor: the finance minister was held in secret last night


Japanese media reported that Abe vomited blood in his official residence due to overwork

On August 4, Japanese magazine flash revealed that Shinzo Abe, suspected of being too tired and in poor health, vomited blood in the office of the prime ministers residence just last month.

In fact, the rumor of Abes abnormal health has a long history.

In 2017, Abe was crushed by heavy work. He had a sudden illness late at night and received emergency treatment from doctors.

In 2018, Asahi Yineng weekly published an article saying that a trusted member of Abes side pointed out that Abes illness was getting worse, which had become the biggest problem for the Japanese regime at that time. In recent years, the prime minister has been suffering from ulcerative colitis . If the illness gets worse, it will erode the prime ministers three-year term. In the same year, Abe told the spring and Autumn Annals of literature and art that I often rush to the toilet and bleed when I go to the toilet. Almost every half an hour. In the evening, I went back and forth to the toilet and couldnt sleep soundly.

On August 5, local time, South Koreas Culture Daily published the title where is Abe? Cough blood suspicion cloud conjecture unceasingly, also cant see the human figure article. However, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe failed to hold a press conference and reply to the parliament for 49 consecutive days. His support rate dropped to the bottom, and even was reported to be in abnormal health, ushering in the most serious crisis..

On August 17, Shinzo Abe stayed at Keio University Hospital in dushinomimachi, Tokyo, for more than seven hours, adding to the suspicion that he was ill or working too hard. Several people who have met with him revealed that he looks very tired..

Fuji TV reported that Abe would go to Qingying university hospital for physical examination every six months, the last time on June 13 this year. The hospital said Abe received additional examination in June.

On the 24th, Abe went to Qingying university hospital again to listen to the results and accept more tests, which once again aroused suspicions about his health. It is worth mentioning that on the same day, Abe broke the record of 2 798 consecutive days of Satos tenure in office, setting the longest consecutive record of Japanese Prime Minister.

According to the latest news of NHK news, Shinzo Abe plans to resign as Prime Minister of Japan due to his own health reasons on the 28th local time, and will hold a press meeting at 5:00 this evening at the prime ministers residence to give a detailed explanation. LDP sources said the decision was basically confirmed.

Previously, the LDP high-level once stressed: although the prime ministers chronic illness seems to worsen, but now tends to recover, he is unlikely to resign.

At this evenings press conference, the time and purpose of cabinet reshuffle and high-level personnel adjustment of the party will also become the focus.

If the prime minister is not in good health, he may not be able to make accurate policy and other relevant judgments, suggests shinichiro Tanaka, an associate professor at Chiba University of Commerce. It should be explained by the prime minister himself or by the chief secretary.

In addition, it is reported that Abe held an emergency meeting with Taro Aso, Deputy Prime Minister and finance minister, at a Chinese restaurant in Tokyo on the evening of 27. Therefore, some analysts believe that after Abe announced his resignation, Taro Aso is likely to serve as interim prime minister until the next prime minister is elected.

Who will be the next prime minister?

1. Shigeru Ishiba, 63, former Defense Minister of Japan

Reason: Japan will not hold a national election until 2021, so the new LDP leader can replace Abe as prime minister during this period. Public opinion surveys show that Ishibashi is the first choice for voters. The economic policies he supports are seen as more populist than Abe. In an interview in April, he said too much wealth had been accumulated in the hands of shareholders and company owners. He also expressed doubts about the sustainability of the BoJs monetary policy. Internationally, Shi has always been in line with Abe and worked hard to maintain stable relations with its Asian neighbors. However, compared with Abe, Ishibashi seems more hesitant about Amending Japans peace constitution.

Taro Kono, 57, Japans defense minister

In 2017, taro Kono urged the Bank of Japan to formulate a strategy to withdraw from ultra loose monetary policy. This year, he canceled plans to deploy Lockheed Martins Aegis land-based ballistic missile defense system, citing the high cost of retrofitting to meet Japans security requirements. The move won the favor of many voters.

Reason: Mr Ishida has always been Abes touted potential leader, but the mild mannered former banker has so far failed to establish his public image.

In an interview with Tokyo television on Monday, Mr. Kishida said he expected interest rates to remain low, taking into account Japans economic conditions. He called for more spending in response to the economic crisis, but urged caution against the idea of a sales tax cut. Mr. Ishida also mentioned that it is necessary to restore fiscal discipline in the future.

4. Yoshihide suga, 71, Chief Cabinet Secretary of Japan

5. Taro Aso, 79, Minister of finance of Japan

Reason: like Mr Kan, Taro Aso is also a member of Abes core circle and has served as Japans finance minister and Deputy Prime Minister for a long time. But, given his age, he may not be the best candidate to replace Abe, according to the news agency.

It is worth mentioning that no matter who succeeds Abe as Japanese Prime Minister, it is unlikely that any drastic reform of current monetary policy will be carried out.

Hiroshi Miyazaki, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities, also said, given the current economic situation, especially after the outbreak, there is little choice but to continue to adopt positive fiscal policy and loose monetary policy. If the new leader wants to subvert economic policy, the yen will rise and the stock market will fall. None of these people want to see.

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