Pork is up again! A kilogram rises nearly 10 yuan, how to go next?

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 Pork is up again! A kilogram rises nearly 10 yuan, how to go next?


Jiahui supermarket is one of the largest chain supermarkets in Qinhuangdao city. In the yufengli store of Jiahui supermarket on Yanshan street in Haigang District, the reporter saw that the pork counter was very cold and empty. Within ten minutes, only one customer bought half a kilogram of meat stuffing. A salesman told reporters that the price of pork has risen recently, and there are not many customers who come to buy it. The sales volume is obviously reduced compared with that in previous years.

Recently, a reporter in the animal husbandry provinces of Shandong and Hebei learned that pork prices have risen in many places. According to the statistics of Shandong provincial animal husbandry station, the price of pork in Shandong Province rose continuously from 47.18 yuan / kg at the end of May to 57.22 yuan / kg at the end of July.

According to the fixed-point monitoring conducted by the animal husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas of China, the average price of pork in China increased from 45.98 yuan / kg in the fourth week of may (the date of collection is May 27) to 55.50 yuan / kg in the fifth week of July (the collection date is July 29).

Industry analysts believe that this round of pork price rise is mainly driven by consumption, but also by weather changes and other factors. In terms of consumption, as the epidemic prevention and control has entered the normalization stage, the pork consumption potential has accelerated to release. According to the National Bureau of statistics, Chinas catering income fell 46.8% year-on-year in March, and the decline rate in June has narrowed to 15.2%. It is expected that pork consumption in the catering industry will continue to grow in the future.

In terms of supply, heavy rainfall in many places and farmers reluctance to sell and wait and see exacerbated the seasonal shortage of pork supply.

Affected by this, farmers are reluctant to sell and wait-and-see mood, making pork supply more tense. Wang Lingyun said.

In addition, the Ministry of agriculture and rural recent market research found that some unexpected factors are also boosting the price of pork. Among them, affected novel coronavirus pneumonia in Beijing, some residents were concerned about the consumption of frozen pork, and the demand for fresh pork increased. The market regulation role of frozen pork reserve was limited.

Many industry insiders believe that the overall supply and demand relationship of Chinas pig industry is still tight, but there are many favorable factors for stable production and supply and stable meat plate.

The data shows that at present, the number of live pigs on hand and the supply of piglets have been increasing for five consecutive months, indicating that the number of commercial pigs available for sale after July will gradually increase and the supply of pork market will continue to improve.

According to reports, with the implementation of the supporting policies for pig breeding, the scale of pig breeding has been continuously expanded, and the number of live pigs on hand has steadily increased. Since this year, 225 enterprises have built or expanded pig farms in Hebei Province, and the problems of land, water and electricity are being solved in an integrated way.

In addition, the market is more optimistic, but also led to many farmers continue to expand the scale of aquaculture, reserve capacity. Yang Shouwen, vice chairman of Hebei Hongdu Industrial Group Co., Ltd., told reporters that on the basis of saving more than 10000 pigs and selling less than 20000 pigs in 2019, they will actively expand the scale. It is estimated that the number of sows that can be bred this year will reach more than 1200, and the number on hand and on the market will reach 20000 and 30000 respectively, an increase of nearly 50% over the same period of last year.

In Shandong Province, due to the strong demand of farm households for supplementary hurdles, the price of piglets rose from 86.01 yuan / kg in early June to 94.95 yuan / kg at the end of July for seven consecutive weeks.

According to the relevant person in charge of the Ministry of agriculture and rural areas, the current pig production continues to recover well, which provides strong support for increasing market supply in the later stage. The supply of pork will continue to improve in the second half of the year, and it is unlikely that prices will continue to rise sharply.