Same as Trumps upper track? Biden leads in three key states

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 Same as Trumps upper track? Biden leads in three key states


In Florida, according to CNN polls, Biden and trump were 51% and 46% respectively. In terms of epidemic prevention and control, Florida, like Arizona, is still rapidly increasing the number of confirmed cases.

US media analysis said that Trumps poor response to the new coronavirus epidemic is the main reason for the election crisis. At present, the total number of confirmed cases in the United States has exceeded 4 million, and the cumulative death toll has reached more than 146000.

There are now 100 days to go before the US election.

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Trump is fighting for votes with division in the 100 day countdown to the US election

On July 26, the U.S. presidential election in 2020 entered the 100 day countdown. It can be predicted that in the next three months, the incumbent president trump and the Democratic challenger Biden will certainly launch a more fierce competition to win more electoral college votes on November 3, so as to be elected the new president of the United States.

Although the time is getting closer, more suspense about the US election still need to be revealed.

At the same time, with the opening of the election, three TV debates of the presidential candidates will be held in some form. At that time, it will also be an observation point whether Biden, who is bound to bear more expectations because of its more obvious advantage in the poll, will perform as expected. All in all, 100 days may not seem like a long time, but it is enough to make any imaginable change for the fast-moving election.

The novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic factor is obviously the most prominent in this presidential election. The trump administrations ineffective prevention and control is widening the distance between the trump administration and Biden in the opinion polls. There are even views that the 2020 US general election will be an election about Empathy, and the public seems to be looking forward to a Biden who can bring the country back to normal and on track.

Biden has gained more support in the context of the epidemic from the polls, especially for some key groups. But the question is whether the changes in the polls can really turn into votes. After all, for some groups, the change of the epidemics preference is synchronized with the suppression of their voting rate. Therefore, nowadays, the key to Bidens victory lies in the so-called bag dropping for security, maintaining the advantage of the poll as much as possible, and converting it into actual votes as much as possible.

It is in the context of the epidemic that the 2020 general election has gradually turned into a referendum on whether trump can continue to be in power. On the one hand, Trumps support among Republican voters has basically continued, and his supporters are relatively stable and enthusiastic; on the other hand, Biden supporters include groups with many motivations, including a considerable number of trump opponents.

This means that the groups that support Biden are more likely not to vote for trump, but they may not vote for Biden. As a result, the 2020 general election may be one in which the voting rate may not be high and the two parties basically face to face, which may not be detrimental to trump.

In keeping with the epidemic situation, the trump administration hopes that other issues can be raised to serve as the auxiliary line or even other themes of the election. Now the crackdown on Portlands anti racial discrimination protest movement is obviously to intensify contradictions, weaken the impact of the epidemic with ethnic conflicts, and lock in more moderate white groups who might have run away.

Therefore, what the outside world can see is that a president of the United States of America needs to seek re-election in a split way. At the same time, in the face of the worsening epidemic situation and worrying election situation, the White House is exaggerating some huge external threat through various oaths or policy adjustments to fool voters by creating fear and showing tough tactics.

In addition, based on the unusual logic and practice of trump administration in internal and external decision-making over the past three years, before the election day, trump made some special actions, even created military security conflicts externally, and created his image of so-called wartime president or crisis president, which may also promote his election.

In this way, if trump succeeded in 2016 with his mobile phone and extreme social media hype, he is stirring up the world to advance his campaign in 2020.

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u5811557,container:ssp_ 5811557, async:true }Source of this article: surging news editor: Li Chao_ NB12814