Scholar: if the Chinese card can save Trumps election, it means that the American system is hopeless

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 Scholar: if the Chinese card can save Trumps election, it means that the American system is hopeless


The most incredible thing is that when the epidemic is spreading more and more rapidly in the world, the United States should withdraw from the World Health Organization (who), which plays an important role in global health, and refuses to pay the relevant expenses it should bear. This has brought serious negative impact on the normal operation of who and triggered criticism and protest all over the world. It can be said that the evil nature of the political system does not change, and the countries around the world have been on guard, and they have become isolated.

Just when the world thinks that the United States has crossed the red line and the low line, it is astonished by the continuous escalation of the United States, which has provoked the conflict between China and the United States.

As early as 2010, the United States began to contain China after China overtook Japan as the worlds second largest economy. The Obama era launched the Asia Pacific transfer and excluded Chinas TPP. In the era of trump, China has repeatedly issued strategies: on December 18, 2017, the national security strategy report was issued, which clearly pointed out that China is a strategic competitor; in January 2018, the US national defense strategic report clearly regarded China and Russia as the number one threat and strategic competitors; on May 20, 2019, the White House and the official websites of the US Department of defense published a 16 page United States On July 18, US Defense Secretary esper pointed out in an interview, we are in the era of great power competition. This means that our primary strategic competitor is China, and then Russia, but China has a bigger problem because it has enough population and a large enough economy to replace the United States.. Looking back on March 2018, it is no surprise that the United States officially launched a trade war against China.

Screenshot of the PDF version of the US strategic approach to China

From the perspective of international relations, it is a rational and normal choice for the conservative powers to contain emerging powers, which has certain historical and realistic rationality. However, when the new coronavirus becomes the global common enemy, all countries should abandon their narrow interests, shelve their differences and work together to deal with it. However, the United States is acting against the hearts of the world and against global interests, challenging Chinas core interests in Xinjiang, Tibet, Hong Kong, the South China Sea and the Taiwan Strait. Even the New York Times has exposed absurd news that the United States is going to ban Chinese Communists from entering the country. On July 21, the United States continued to upgrade and unreasonably demanded that China close the Houston consulate within 72 hours.

No wonder Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi denounced the United States for losing its sense, morality and credibility in a telephone conversation with his Russian counterpart. It can be said that todays United States has been the countrys public trust has fallen to the bottom, and the political morality has gone bankrupt. The United States has always claimed to be a city on the top of a mountain and an exceptional country. But this is not enough to explain its current irrational move. This needs to be interpreted from its system.

This year is the election year of the United States, which is the time to redistribute and shuffle the political power of the United States. In order to fight for political power, all parties naturally have to show their magic power. Originally, trump has the ruling advantage and administrative resources, and the data of economic growth and employment rate have always been brilliant. But I didnt expect the outbreak of the new crown epidemic, which hit the economy hard. The unemployment rate in April was as high as 14.7%, higher than that during the great depression in the 1930s. In May, finance minister mchin announced that it would rise to 25%.

When the domestic affairs are in a mess, Trump and the Republican Party are pinning their hopes on playing the China card. As early as April 26, the 57 page election memorandum sent to the partys campaign team by the Republican Senate National Committee was accidentally exposed, suggesting that the Republican candidates should actively attack China when they are involved in the new coronavirus crisis, and also attack the weakness of China of the Democrats. The aim is to make China a central topic in the 2020 campaign.

In April, there was no tragic death of black Floyd in the United States, and the epidemic situation did not develop to the extent that it is out of control. However, at that time, the Republican Party had taken attacking China as the main means to win the election. Now that Trumps poll lags behind Biden, the Democratic candidate, has reached double digits, making China a scapegoat is the only straw for the Republican Party to win the election.

This scene shows us the extremely ugly side of the US political system: when the world needs to work together to deal with the threat of a deadly virus, when the virus threatens the lives and health of the American people, the United States, due to institutional reasons, not only does the countrys leaders and ruling parties not put their efforts into global cooperation and do their best to help their own people, but use their precious resources to obstruct it China is actively helping the global fight against the epidemic.

If the U.S. government does not care about the life and death of the people of the world, it should attach great importance to the health and life of its own people. However, in such a serious situation, why should the United States spend a lot of resources in places that people do not know?

In particular, trump urged the economy to reopen as early as the end of April, but refused to help states increase virus detection. Now, July 18, 19, when the White House discussed the rescue bill with Republican senators, it refused funding for virus detection and tracking. The reality for the States is that there are long lines in front of the test stations. Many people report that the test report is not available. Atlanta mayor Burton said earlier this month that she did not receive the diagnosis until eight days after testing. When states are in dire need of funding to expand their ability to detect and track the virus, the White Houses refusal to allocate money is a serious impediment to the fight against the disease, while the white house refuses to increase additional funding to the CDC. All that trump has done is to worry that the epidemic data is not good enough to affect his support.

If we look at the United States today, we can understand why the Western Christian civilization must implement the democratic system of one person, one vote. If there is no such system, politicians will not care about the interests of the people and life and death. With this system, the people still have some restrictions on power. But the reality of the United States also shows that this system has a high principal-agent risk. The people authorize political figures through their votes, and the two sides form a contract, and the people entrust them to govern the country. However, when the interests of the political figures, the national interests and the peoples interests are not consistent and conflict occurs, the political figures will not sacrifice their personal interests, and the only thing the people can do is to replace them in the next election. Perhaps the American people are lucky this time, because this is an election year; assuming that the outbreak of the new crown disease in the United States one or two years ahead of schedule, how many people will not survive?

Trump claims that the new crown epidemic is the Democratic Partys new scam video capture

Another feature of the American system is federalism, in which states have considerable independent power. Not only internal affairs, but also diplomacy, can compete with the federal government. For example, trump announced his withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement, and California immediately announced that it would continue. As far as this epidemic is concerned, the states can decide whether to close the city, when to unseal it, whether to wear masks and expand detection. As long as these measures can be strictly implemented, the disease can be effectively controlled. For example, although European countries have a slow response and the United Kingdom even proposed mass immunization, as long as these measures are adopted, the epidemic can be effectively controlled within one month at most. In addition to the mistakes or incompetence of the president and the federal government, the state governments are obviously responsible for the failure of the United States in fighting the epidemic today.

States, like the United States as a whole, have problems with electoral systems. For example, on March 28, trump said that he was considering issuing compulsory quarantine orders for areas with severe outbreaks in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, but they were strongly opposed by the three states and had to be cancelled. Because the compulsory segregation order will not only damage the image of state politicians, but also their economic interests; it is the same as the president to sacrifice the lives and health of voters for their own political interests.

The federal system of the United States, which was praised by many people and even suggested that China should learn from it, obviously failed to withstand the test of this epidemic. It can be said that the democratic system of the United States, due to the risk of principal-agent, will inevitably lead the leaders to ignore the epidemic situation and the lives and health of the people, even if the election is imminent. It is also destined that the democratic system of the United States will provoke foreign countries to transfer internal pressure and contradictions. It is not too much to call it dereliction of duty at home and a threat to world peace.

On the other hand, the party struggle under this system will upgrade the simple epidemic prevention to politics, so that wearing masks or not has become a tool of political and political struggle in the United States! Thats why trump has always refused to wear masks. Many of his supporters also refused to wear masks. All this is not accidental, it is the result of the system.

Of course, in the face of an unprecedented epidemic, not only can we not suspend the provocation of the United States against China, on the contrary, there is another factor besides the system: the epidemic has greatly increased the sense of crisis in the United States. One is that China has won a clean and successful victory in the face of the difficult situation of unknown virus, while the United States has ready-made experience and enough time to prepare, but it is completely out of control. This result directly shakes the legitimacy and superiority of the American system in the world. Second, Chinas economy recovered rapidly after overcoming the epidemic and became the first major economy from negative to positive in the world. The U.S. economy is in recession because of the out of control epidemic situation. And in the absence of vaccines and specific drugs, this state will continue. However, when the vaccine can be used and whether it will be effective for a long time is unknown, let alone specific drugs. The rise and fall of the economy has once again greatly reduced the time for China to surpass the United States. What really determines the outcome of the competition between China and the United States is to see who can better solve their own problems. The United States is putting the cart before the horse. All this is not accidental, but the system.

So, can trump win re-election by playing the China card?

In fact, from Chinas point of view, even if the White House is extremely provocative to the Chinese hardliners demand for Trumps re-election, China still hopes that trump will be re elected. As long as trump in any day, the West will be in a state of division, and the United States will continue to withdraw from the world. Its internal contradictions and divisions can only be further intensified and strengthened. His low governance ability can not solve the problems of the United States, but will create more problems. Whats more, the diplomatic war is powerful, symbolic, eye-catching and effective in public relations, but it has little practical significance and damage. This is different from economic war and military war. And China has been cooperating with Trump: vigorously implementing the first phase of the trade agreement and importing a large number of American agricultural products. To counter by closing the U.S. consulate in Chengdu is to build momentum for trump.

First, the citizens of the United States lack an international vision and are indifferent to matters outside the United States. They are more concerned about their own acre of land. Ronald Dworkin, a famous American thinker, pointed out sharply: opinion polls show that just before the 2004 election, half of all Americans thought that Iraqis were the 9.11 hijackers. At the climax of the cold war between the United States and the Soviet Union, most Americans did not know whether Russia was a member of NATO. In 1996, pollsters listed a long list of current affairs questions that they thought would be crucial to the election of that year, but less than half of the public who took the poll could answer even 40 percent of those questions. Even President trump believes that in history, the Korean Peninsula is a part of China and Finland is a part of Russia. He does not know whether Britain is a nuclear power.

Second, under the US response, the epidemic will become more and more serious, until election day. When their health and economic life are seriously threatened, voters will naturally vent their anger and dissatisfaction with their votes, thus starting a new cycle.

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u5811557,container:ssp_ 5811557, async:true }Thirdly, the forces against trump are very strong at present. In the election year, the two books that former national security adviser Bolton and Trumps niece exposed the inside story were published successively. It is not a coincidence, nor is it a purely personal act. The main reason behind this is the political forces against trump. Thats why Biden has been receiving more donations than trump. Of course, its too early to say that trump is 100% out. However, if he can be re elected, it can only show that the United States system has completely lost its ability to correct and innovate, and that Chinas development opportunity period is really endless. No matter how the United States curbs it, Chinas rise is unstoppable - not my own judgment, but the conclusion of major western countries. In July this year, a survey conducted in Britain and Germany by YouGov pollsters, headquartered in Britain, showed that 48% of Britons and 42% of Germans believed that the United States would lose its world hegemony and be replaced by China in the next 50 years, while only 18% and 14% believed that the United States could maintain its hegemony. Grandmother who recommended trump advisor died in the new White House: This is absolutely wrong. Whats Washingtons next card? The possibility of establishing diplomatic relations between the United States and Taiwan is very small. Source: observer.com Author: Song LUZHENG editor in charge: Hu Shuli_ MN7479

Third, the forces against trump are very strong at present. In the election year, the two books that former national security adviser Bolton and Trumps niece exposed the inside story were published successively. It is not a coincidence, nor is it a purely personal act. The main reason behind this is the political forces against trump. Thats why Biden has been receiving more donations than trump.

Of course, its too early to say that trump is 100% out. However, if he can be re elected, it can only show that the United States system has completely lost its ability to correct and innovate, and that Chinas development opportunity period is really endless. No matter how the United States curbs it, Chinas rise is unstoppable - not my own judgment, but the conclusion of major western countries. In July this year, a survey conducted in Britain and Germany by YouGov pollsters, headquartered in Britain, showed that 48% of Britons and 42% of Germans believed that the United States would lose its world hegemony and be replaced by China in the next 50 years, while only 18% and 14% believed that the United States could maintain its hegemony.