Expert interpretation: where does the hostility of the United States come from?

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 Expert interpretation: where does the hostility of the United States come from?


Xie Tao: pompeios speech is the concluding work of a series of four speeches on China. The other three speakers are national security advisor Robert OBrien, FBI Director Chris Wray and Attorney General William Barr. The essence of this series of speeches is to shout out to the Americans, expressing three meanings: China is an unprecedented threat to the United States. The reason for this is precisely because previous governments blindly contacted the policy, and we want to change this policy.

Of course, to say that China is a threat is a fallacy. It is totally demonizing China and breaking through without attack. Chinas one belt, one road initiative and the community of human destiny point to positive and constructive cooperation. China has played a lot of positive role in the international community in the process of fighting the new crown. What is the threat?

Although it is not worth refuting, it is still worth our vigilance.

Pompeio arranged a series of speeches to try to change the tone of his China policy, probably in imitation of the series of hearings held by the late Senator Fulbright in 1966. Ironically, when Fulbright believed that the Soviet Union was a much greater threat than China, thus paving the way for China and the United States to break the ice, now the pompeios are abandoning their achievements. Will todays build momentum work as well as it did in the past? This needs our close attention.

Unity Lake reference: but in todays I have you, you have me world pattern, it is almost impossible not to contact or even decouple, right?

Xie Tao: pompeio himself knows it well, so he said that it is impossible to contain China as he did with the Soviet Union. China and the United States are deeply integrated into each other, and it is very difficult to completely cut them off. But dont underestimate pompeios ideological conservatism and toughness. Pompeio is a politician who grew up during the cold war, and his cold war thinking is deeply rooted. However, he knew that todays Sino US relations were not the same as those of the then US Soviet relations. He should also be very contradictory, so he did not throw out a real strategy to confront China in his speech.

Xie Tao: from a historical point of view. 1840 was the beginning of Chinas decline. About the same time, the United States began to pursue overseas expansionism. When China fell sharply, the United States began to rise sharply. But by 2008, it was almost completely reversed. The United States has never thought of facing an increasingly powerful China when the signs of its decline are obvious. We can imagine the psychological gap. China is active and promising in the world. In the eyes of Chinese at the stage of national rejuvenation, it is easy to be overreacted by the downhill United States. Unfortunately, the extreme politicians of the trump administration gather together and the effect of overreaction is more obvious. They even think that Chinas threat to the United States is the whole government and the whole society.

Unity Lake reference: even without the special government of trump, it seems that this misunderstanding is difficult to solve. Why?

Unity Lake reference: will the conflict of identity lead to hostility?

Xie Tao: even if there are fundamental value differences, there is also the possibility of cooperation between big powers, such as when there is a common and imminent threat. The key is how to define this threat. Are global public issues such as the new coronavirus a threat? Unfortunately, if one side does not stand high enough and think far enough, it will be difficult to reach a consensus.

Xie Tao: in the past, when we talked about Sino US relations, we always said managing differences. The more important thing at the moment is probably crisis management and control. However, the closure of the Chengdu consulate general is a counter measure under the principle of reciprocity, which is fair and has little damage area.

But I also want to invite you to review one of the knowledge points mentioned above. In the short term, the temperature of Sino US relations has dropped sharply. The domestic politics of the United States is the direct and key reason. To a certain extent, it is the result of the overreaction of the trump administration, and may not be the normal state of American politics in the future. However, we must also be aware that there are fundamental differences between China and the United States in terms of national identity, political system and historical development track. Although most people in China and the United States hope that Sino US relations will get better, it does not mean that it will automatically get better. This requires the joint efforts of policy makers and people of the two countries. It is undeniable that the trump administration has caused irreparable damage to Sino US relations initiated by Nixon, and it is unlikely that it will get better in the short term.

For China, no matter how the elite in Washington change their perception of China, maintaining their strategic determination and continuing to deepen reform in an all-round way is the key to truly grasp the initiative of Sino US relations. On the basis of adhering to the principles and keeping rational in the face of overreaction, we can avoid the tragedy of great power politics.

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u5811557,container:ssp_ 5811557, async:true }This paper is from Tuanjie lake. Author: Zhang Jingwen, editor in charge: Yuan Yijiao_ NB14956