Since July, a number of cities, including Shenzhen, Nanjing and Hangzhou, have tightened their regulatory policies due to the hot property market and abnormal house prices in some cities in the first half of the year. In the late night of the day of the real estate forum, Dongguan issued an article overnight to increase the regulation of the property market.
The state has reiterated the goal of no speculation in housing and three stabilities, setting the tone for the direction of real estate regulation in the second half of the year. Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real estate, said that under the epidemic situation, the real estate market will rapidly decline at the beginning of 2020, and then accelerate recovery after the epidemic. From May to June, the market will be active in both investment and sales, and the market will return to the upward channel. In some cities, there will be obvious 10000 people shaking and house prices rising. At this time, the real estate working conference was held, which represents the importance of policy stability. Recently, a new round of real estate regulation and control has been started all over the country.
After Dongguan, which cities will follow up and tighten regulation?
Re emphasis on housing does not stir fry, representatives from 10 cities attended the meeting
According to Xinhua news agency, at the forum, Han Zheng stressed that we should adhere to the problem orientation, attach great importance to the new situation and problems in the current real estate market, always tighten the string of real estate regulation and unswervingly promote the implementation of a long-term mechanism. It is necessary to fully implement the main responsibility of the city government, to quickly respond and deal with problems found, and to take timely targeted policy measures; to implement the prudent management system of real estate finance, stabilize the stock, strictly control the increment, and prevent the illegal inflow of funds into the real estate market; to strengthen market monitoring, prompt, guide and early warning of market changes, and accurately analyze the market situation; and It is necessary to establish the monitoring index system of residential land market, regularly disclose the progress of land reserve and transferred land construction in various regions, and accept social supervision; it is necessary to play the role of fiscal and taxation policies to effectively regulate housing demand; it is necessary to continuously rectify the chaos in the real estate market, and effectively investigate and deal with violations of laws and regulations according to law; it is necessary to do a good job in housing security, and promote the old residential quarters and shantytowns in cities and towns according to local conditions District transformation, focus on solving the housing problem of new citizens and young people in the city.
As for the time node of the forum, Zhang Dawei said that the holding of the real estate work conference, to a certain extent, is a summary of the market, but also an early warning market, representing the direction of regulation and control.
It is worth noting that there were also relevant heads of government departments from 10 cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Shenyang, Chengdu, Ningbo and Changsha. Among them, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Chengdu and Ningbo are all hot cities in the property market in the first half of this year.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of E-House Research Institute, said that the purpose of the 10 city representatives participating in the forum was very clear, that is, the high-level wanted to understand the reasons for the overheated house prices in such cities, and also hoped to further promote the stability of the real estate market by controlling such cities in the future.
Seven cities, including Shenzhen and Nanjing, have tightened property market regulation
In fact, before the real estate forum, Shenzhen and Nanjing two hot cities have increased the regulation of the property market, causing concern both inside and outside the industry.
On July 15, Shenzhen Bureau of housing and urban rural development and other departments issued the notice on further promoting the steady and healthy development of the real estate market in our city, which involves eight major regulatory measures, such as settling in Shenzhen for three years and paying individual income tax or social security for 36 consecutive months. This is known as the strictest regulation in the history of Shenzhen.
After Shenzhen, in the early morning of July 23, a bomb of regulation and control broke out in the Nanjing property market. Seven departments, including the Nanjing housing security and real estate bureau, jointly issued new policies for the property market, covering nine specific measures, such as land transfer, preferential purchase and improvement of purchase restriction.
Ding Zuyu, CEO of E-House enterprise group, said that from the time point of Nanjings release of new policies, it is obvious that Nanjing urgently needs to regulate the market. As the first city to follow up the new deal in Shenzhen, the overall content is similar to the Shenzhen policy. The signal significance is also very strong, which means that under the long-term control goal of stabilizing land prices, stabilizing housing prices and stabilizing expectations, cities with signs of overheated markets will successively introduce strong suppression policies.
Nanjing has also become the seventh region to tighten its regulatory policies in the second half of the year. From July to the real estate forum, the whole country ushered in a round of tightening of regulatory policies. In addition to Shenzhen and Nanjing, Hangzhou, Ningbo, Zhengzhou, Inner Mongolia and other cities have also increased their housing market regulation policies.
For example, on July 2, Hangzhou issued a new policy on the property market, proposing that talents should be given priority to purchase houses by lottery. From the date of online signing, they should not be listed for trading within five years. On July 6, Ningbo upgraded its property market regulation and expanded the scope of purchase restriction. On July 13, Zhengzhou launched a special inspection on the order of the real estate market. The contents include selling more than one house, holding back the price, selling back the cost, and renting after sale. On July 14, Inner Mongolia adjusted the housing provident fund loan related policies, and stopped issuing provident fund loans to the third house buyers and above.
As we all know, in the first half of this year, affected by the epidemic situation, the property market transactions showed a cliff like decline in February. With the resumption of work and production of major industries, the property market policies were relatively loose, and the capital was relatively abundant. In May and June, the property market accelerated to recover, with active investment and sales in the market. In some cities, the property market was hot, with rising house prices, frequent high prices and house grabbing For example, the second-hand house prices in Shenzhen and Dongguan have soared, and ten thousand people are shaking in Nanjing, Hangzhou and Chengdu. Zhang Dawei analysis said that the regulatory policy has been tightened from the city where house prices have risen significantly.
Of course, there are tight and loose regulation of the property market. For example, Changchun issued a notice on July 21 that in the third ring area of the city, second-hand housing transactions are not subject to purchase time restrictions. The industry believes that this is in line with the national one city, one policy policy guidance.
Adjust and control the expansion of the city, Dongguan night post, Chengdu will be the next?
Zhang Dawei said that with the emergence of a new round of regulation and control, more than 15 cities may issue tightening policies with different intensities, and cities such as Chengdu are expected to increase the possibility of further regulation and control.
Jiamu (pseudonym), who plans to buy a house in his hometown Chengdu recently, received a message from the local property consultant on July 24 that Chengdu may strengthen the restrictions on purchase next week, requiring settlement or increase of social security payment period.
At the same time, whether Dongguan will upgrade the regulation has become a hot topic in the industry. From the beginning of July this year, there have been rumors that Dongguan will introduce a second-hand housing purchase restriction policy. It is also reported that Dongguan will upgrade its regulatory policies on Friday (July 24). As expected, Dongguan increased the real estate market regulation, chose to release the new policy in the early morning of July 25.
Dongguan housing and Urban Rural Development Bureau, Dongguan Public Security Bureau, Dongguan natural resources bureau and other 12 departments jointly issued the notice on further promoting the stable and healthy development of the citys real estate market, involving nine aspects, including increasing the supply of residential land, starting the purchase restriction of second-hand housing, and increasing the sales restriction period to three years, which can be described as the strictest new purchase policy in the history of Dongguan.
Dongguan and Chengdu are the first half of this years property market hot cities. In the first half of the year, Dongguans house prices soared, and the transaction prices of second-hand houses in some regions rose by 60% year-on-year. However, there are six wanrenyao real estate projects in Chengdu. The typical Kaide Zhuojin Wandai project in Longquanyi District has registered 22806 people. They are competing for 194 houses, and the overall success rate is only 0.85%.
It is noteworthy that Chengdu representatives also attended the real estate forum on July 24.
Yan Yuejin said that it is expected that the policies in the second half of the year will have several performances: first, the cities participating in the forum are expected to tighten the follow-up policies, especially those that have not issued policies recently; second, other cities in the country are more cautious in policy relaxation, and will not relax easily, at least will assess the market situation cautiously; third, related fields will also tighten policies, especially banks Banking and financial departments are expected to change the wind direction in the second half of the year.