Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real estate, believes that in 2020, the real estate market will accelerate recovery after the rapid decline of the epidemic situation. From May to June, the market will be active in investment and sales, and the market will return to the upward channel. In some cities, there will be obvious phenomenon of 10000 people shaking and house prices rising. At this time, the holding of the real estate work forum represents the importance of policy stability.
The meeting, to a certain extent, is also a summary of the market warning market, representing the direction of regulation and control. Zhang Dawei said.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of the E-House Research Institute, also said that the forum has released a lot of policy signals. In some cities where house prices are rising too fast, the real estate regulatory policies may be tightened. And some cities with a sluggish real estate market may still need to continue to de inventory.
Han Zheng stressed that we should adhere to the problem orientation, attach great importance to the new situations and problems in the current real estate market, always tighten the string of real estate regulation and unswervingly promote the implementation of a long-term mechanism. The government should take measures to deal with the problems in a timely manner.
It is worth noting that in addition to the responsible comrades of the relevant departments of the central and state organs, the responsible comrades of the peoples governments of 10 cities, including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Shenyang, Chengdu, Ningbo and Changsha, attended the forum.
Among the ten cities mentioned above, Shenzhen, Ningbo and other cities successively introduced new real estate regulation policies in July, aiming to cool down the local property market.
Yan Yuejin believes that housing prices in these cities are rising rapidly and the market performance is relatively hot. The participation in the forum also shows the central governments concern about the overheating of the real estate market in some cities.
Zhang Dawei believes that from the content of the property market regulation policy, since July, the whole country has begun a round of tightening of regulatory policies. Nanjing, as a hot city with rising house prices, is the seventh city to tighten regulation recently.
From the perspective of this round of tightening regulation and control, most of them belong to the cities with obvious rise in house prices. The most typical cities include Hangzhou, Shenzhen and Nanjing. Zhang Dawei believes that it is very likely that some other cities will increase the size of the cities in the future.
In addition to administrative measures such as purchase restriction, the financial policy has a great impact on the trend of the real estate market in the past.
In 31 second tier cities, the sales prices of newly built commercial residential buildings and second-hand residential buildings rose by 0.9% and 0.5% month on month, respectively, which were 0.3 and 0.1 percentage points higher than that of the previous month. In 35 third tier cities, the sales prices of newly built commercial residential buildings and second-hand residential buildings rose by 0.8% and 0.5% month on month, respectively, which were 0.1 and 0.2 percentage points higher than that of the previous month.