Philippes unexpected resignation aims to run for president? Undercurrent in French politics

category:Finance
 Philippes unexpected resignation aims to run for president? Undercurrent in French politics


Although he had been in the government for a long time, Castile was not known until recently. During the novel coronavirus pneumonia, Philip appointed Caste to deal with the issue of unsealing. He also went from behind the scenes to the front of the stage, and was called the Mr. Xie Jie by the French.

Delphine Dulong, a professor of political science at Paris No.1 University (Pantheon Sorbonne University), said in an interview with the first finance and economics reporter that in France, there is a common practice for prime ministers to resign after local elections, but it is not common for Philippe to resign with high support rate. She believes that Marco Polos appointment of kastai as the new prime minister is in favor of his technocratic image, but whether he can help mark long continue to implement the reform plan remains to be seen.

As soon as Philips resignation was approved, mark long appointed castai (right) as the new prime minister on the same day.

A turning point in French politics?

Philip served as Prime Minister for 1145 days, higher than the average term of French Prime Minister for 2 years and 10 months. During his tenure, he helped Mark long implement a series of Pro rightist reform plans, including tax reform, labor law reform and retirement system reform. During the epidemic period, due to the proper handling of related affairs, Philips support rate among the French people continued to rise.

Philip won the mayoral election in the northern port city of Le Havre in the second round of the recent French town election. Makrons Kadima party lost the election and only won third and fourth places in most of the towns.

Since March, Marcons approval rating has also been declining. According to a survey by Ifop, an independent French pollster, marklons approval rating fell from 42% in March to 38% in June. During the same period, Philips approval rating rose from 42% to 50%.

People participating in the above two surveys believe that the shortage of medical reserves and the shortage of beds in public hospitals exposed during the epidemic period in France should be mainly responsible for these problems.

Durong said that in France, it is customary for the prime minister to resign after local elections. This is more likely to happen when the election results are against the majority. In 2014, after the socialist party lost in local elections, then Prime Minister Jean Marc Ayrault submitted his resignation.

Durong said that regarding the resignation of Philip, it is worth noting that if the prime minister has a high public opinion rating, the president will not accept his resignation. Now that mark long has accepted Philips resignation, there should be some communication between them.

In addition, some French media believe that Philips resignation may be related to the next presidential election. American media also quoted analysts as saying that the victory of the municipal election laid a certain political foundation for Philip and helped him continue to expand his influence throughout the country. Philips resignation may become a turning point in French politics.

In this regard, Dulong believes that participation in the next presidential election may be one of the reasons for Philips resignation, but it can not be understood as the whole reason.

Olivier Rouquan, a political science professor at cersa, a French think-tank, believes that maclons acceptance of Philips resignation is a very dangerous move, but it is the most favorable choice for him.

Can Mr. Ban lift open a new chapter?

Previously, he was Deputy Secretary General of state for former French President Nicolas Sarkozy and chief of staff of Xavier Bertrand, former French health minister. The French newspaper Le Monde quoted a person close to him as saying that he respected him very much and the two were very close to each other.

Castai and Philip belong to the right-wing parties, and their right-wing identity impresses the left. Olivier Faure, the first Secretary of the French Socialist Party, said: in the future, he will stand on the right side as always. The right has focused on its technocratic image. The new prime minister has been chosen to deal with the day-to-day business, says Christian Jacob, the leader of the French Republican Party

Duron said that since the establishment of the Fifth Republic, French presidents have tended to appoint technocrats, which can consolidate the presidents power over the government and the majority party, or make him the only leader of the majority party.

Julien Manceaux, a senior analyst at ing, believes there are three main reasons why Mr. maklon appointed castai as the new prime minister. First, he was responsible for coordinating the lifting of the ban during the epidemic; second, he supported the economic reconstruction plan advocated by Mark long; third, he had rich experience in local governance, which was crucial for the ruling party which lacked local support.

In French politics, it is a common practice for the president to reorganize the government in order to improve the public support. French media believe that for the current only 35% support rate of Marcon, the practice of changing the prime minister and reorganizing the government will help him show the people a new atmosphere of governance. Recently, Mr. makron has repeatedly said that he will implement social, economic, environmental and local reconstruction plans in the next two years.

According to Dulong, makron has realized that the next stage of work should focus on environmental protection. Not long ago, the French government has indicated that it will invest 15 billion euro in this field in two years.

However, according to Duran, it remains to be seen whether makron can truly implement the above commitments. During the 2017 election campaign, Mr. makron took the stand of nideroite, nidegauche. However, his series of reforms did not benefit all voters. His series of reforms were pro right. Manso believes that at present, makron needs the right person to help him complete the reconstruction plan. There are three main problems facing mark long at present: first, the social unrest caused by the reform of social welfare and retirement system, namely the yellow vest movement; second, the publics appeal for green transformation and environmental protection; third, how to reshape the French economy after the epidemic. France is experiencing the biggest economic contraction since World War II, and the French central bank predicts that the unemployment rate will exceed 11.5% by the middle of next year. Manseau said that a series of choices made by Marcon are continuous. The next French presidential election is about to start, and all that has happened at present will affect the future pattern of French politics. Source of this article: Guo Chenqi, editor in charge of first finance and Economics_ NBJ9931

However, according to Duran, it remains to be seen whether makron can truly implement the above commitments. During the 2017 election campaign, Mr. makron took the stand of nideroite, nidegauche. However, his series of reforms did not benefit all voters. His series of reforms were pro right.