According to the latest research report of CICC, the lack of confidence in the performance of a / h bank stock in the near future is mainly due to the impact of the epidemic and the impact of the interest yield policy on the banks performance, especially the excessive concern about the risk of retail assets. However, we believe that the valuation has fully reflected the impact of a series of events such as the domestic and foreign epidemic impact, financial yield, Sino US relations, and the market expectation reflected is too pessimistic. At present, the bottom of the policy and valuation has been basically confirmed. Looking forward, the team expects that the continuous improvement of economic data is expected to correct the pessimistic expectations of investors and then revalue bank stocks, and some of the top banks are expected to take the lead out of the negative impact of the epidemic.
Li Zhan, chief economist of Zhongshan securities, said that at the executive meeting of the State Council held on June 17, it was proposed to promote the financial system to make a reasonable profit of 1.5 trillion yuan to all kinds of enterprises throughout the year, and at the same time, we should make comprehensive use of such tools as standard reduction and refinancing to maintain a reasonable and abundant market liquidity, increase efforts to solve financing difficulties and ease the financial pressure of enterprises. At present, in the middle of the year, the high demand for cross quarter funds and the centralized issuance of 1 trillion yuan of special anti epidemic bonds have a certain impact on the market liquidity, and the reduction of the standard may be implemented in the near future.
Source: Yang Qian, editor in charge of Finance and economics of Netease_ NF4425