Zhang Wenhong: Beijing epidemic cannot be regarded as the second wave of epidemic

category:Global
 Zhang Wenhong: Beijing epidemic cannot be regarded as the second wave of epidemic


How to treat the Beijing epidemic? Will the new coronavirus exist in human society for a long time?

Zhang Wenhong, director of the infection department of Huashan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University, recently made an in-depth interview on parallel future n-dimension at Pujiang innovation forum, giving the latest judgment!

Data chart: Zhang Wenhong

Beijing epidemic is a small-scale outbreak, not the second wave in autumn and winter

Not long ago, Zhang Wenhong said in an interview with the media that the second wave of epidemic in autumn and winter is certain. So is the outbreak in Beijing the second wave?

We cant think of this as the second wave yet. Zhang Wenhong responded that the second wave he originally said refers to the second wave in the world, in autumn and winter, but it is clear that summer has just begun, and autumn and winter are still early.

He explained that the so-called second wave must form a very significant peak, which will spread for a period of time.

The outbreak in Beijing should be a relatively sudden and small-scale outbreak, but the intensity of the outbreak is still under control. Zhang Wenhong judges.

At the earliest, according to the analysis of infectious characteristics of infectious diseases, if the first wave of epidemic can not be completely controlled, basically after a period of suppression, a second wave of epidemic will appear. Zhang Wenhong said.

He believes that from a global perspective, the overall global epidemic is still going up, and the first wave has not been completed. It is too early to say the second wave for the global scale.

In this case, what kind of epidemic prevention and control strategy should China pursue?

We hope that the domestic epidemic can (pursue) the strategy of close to zero cases, rather than absolute zero cases. Zhang Wenhong believes that it is difficult to achieve true zero cases in the current situation of global epidemic, because the epidemic is easy to spread from other countries.

In Zhangs view, similar to Beijing may occur in other cities in the future, and unexpected emission or small-scale outbreak may occur.

Can it exist in human beings for a long time? Its hard to come to a conclusion now

Will the new coronavirus exist in human society for a long time?

(function(){( window.slotbydup=window .slotbydup||[]).push({id:u6056789,container:ssp_ 6056789, async:true }According to Zhang Wenhong, the new coronavirus didnt appear for a long time. Its hard to conclude whether this virus will exist in human beings for a long time now.. He said that viruses that have long existed in human society have some characteristics. For example: in human beings, the transmission chain continues endlessly; there is an intermediate host of the virus, so we are more likely to contact this animal; the virus becomes a chronic virus, which is not easy to be cleared by the human body. So far, like other coronaviruses, we havent seen that the new coronavirus can persist in humans. Zhang Wenhong said there is no basis for whether the new coronavirus will acquire some mutations and slow down in the future as time goes on. Beijing has novel coronavirus pneumonia cases, including 227 new cases in recent 10 days, involving 10 districts. Beijing yesterday added 22 cases of new crown pneumonia cases, involving 4 districts such as Fengtai. Beijing express little brother has no confirmed and suspected cases. b6492

Zhang Wenhong said that the emergence of the new coronavirus is not very long, now it is difficult to conclude whether the virus will exist in human beings for a long time..

He said that viruses that have long existed in human society have some characteristics. For example:

Continue to spread among human beings, the communication chain continues endlessly;

The virus has an intermediate host, which makes it easier for us to contact the animal;

Virus becomes a kind of chronic virus, which is not easy to be cleared by human body.

So far, like other coronaviruses, we havent seen that the new coronavirus can persist in humans. Zhang Wenhong said there is no basis for whether the new coronavirus will acquire some mutations and slow down in the future as time goes on.