From the perspective of the industry, the largest scale of the market value of lifting the ban is the pharmaceutical and biological industry, reaching 90.916 billion yuan, followed by the mechanical equipment industry, with the market value of lifting the ban reaching 81.508 billion yuan; the market value of lifting the ban in the electronic, non-bank financial and computer industries is more than 30 billion yuan. As you know, most of the technology stocks belong to the electronic and computer industries. This large-scale lifting of the ban will usher in a test for the technology stocks.
11 shares with a market value of over 10 billion
In terms of individual shares, 129 shares will be lifted in July. According to the latest data, there are 4.47 million shareholders behind these 129 shares. In terms of the proportion of the share capital to the total share capital, Wei Xinkang, Daimei and Da Shenlin are in the top three, accounting for 84.24%, 81.59% and 79.83% respectively.
According to the latest closing price, there are 11 companies whose market value is more than 10 billion yuan. Among them, the market value of micro and medium-sized companies in science and technology innovation board is the first, reaching 41.3 billion yuan. The company will lift the ban on July 22, with 194 million shares lifted; the second is the market value of the great ginseng forest, which is also more than 40 billion. In addition, the market value of three shares of Lanqi technology, Hongta securities and Jianyou stock has exceeded 20 billion yuan.
It is generally believed that a large amount of lifting the ban will bring certain pressure on individual stocks and the whole market. In fact, this is not the case. The large scale of lifting the ban does not mean that the market will definitely callback. The stock price of a company is not only affected by the lifting of the ban, but also depends on the willingness of shareholders to reduce their holdings!
Securities Times u00b7 Dabao analyzed the lifting of the ban that has been completed since this year (the amount of lifting the ban exceeds 10 billion), involving 22 companies in 23 cases. It can be seen from the data that the pressure of lifting the ban on the companys stock price is not obvious, among which, the probability of rise in the five days before lifting the ban is more than 65%, the probability of rise in the three days before lifting the ban is slightly lower, but still more than 55%; the probability of rise in the day of lifting the ban is also more than 55%; the probability of rise in the three days and the five days after lifting the ban is more than 60%.
On the day of lifting the ban, the shares of gibit, zhuoshenwei and Jingwang electronics all rose sharply. 5 days after the lifting of the ban, the cumulative increase of more than 20%, and 5 days after the lifting of the ban, the cumulative increase of Shunfeng holdings, Baiyin Nonferrous Metals and Jingwang electronics are more than 10%.
According to 1088 lifting data completed in the year, the probability of increase in the first three days before lifting the ban is slightly lower than 50%, but the probability of increase in the day of lifting the ban is close to 60%, and the probability of increase in the third and the fifth days after lifting the ban is over 50%.
The performance of 15 shares will continue to improve
Companies with relatively good performance are not affected by the lifting of the ban, and the lifting of the ban shares with continuous good performance deserves attention.
According to data treasure, the first quarters net profit increased by more than 30%, and the Agency predicted that in July, when the net profit increased by more than 30% in 2020 and 2021, there will be 15 shares to be lifted from the ban, and there will be 15 shares in science and technology innovation board. Among them, micro and medium-sized companies with large market value, Jianyou Co., Ltd. and hongsoft technology are all included.
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