Under the epidemic situation, Beijings real estate market braked sharply. In May, the trading volume just hit a high point after the 317 new deal

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 Under the epidemic situation, Beijings real estate market braked sharply. In May, the trading volume just hit a high point after the 317 new deal


Recently, novel coronavirus pneumonia has reappeared in Beijing. According to the requirements of epidemic prevention and control, the second-hand housing transactions in medium and high-risk areas were delayed, some new housing sales offices in Fengtai District and Daxing District were temporarily closed, and several joint property rights projects announced the postponement of housing selection plan. Beijings property market is inevitably affected.

In the previous may, the transaction scale of commercial housing (new housing + second-hand housing) in Beijing exceeded 20000 sets, reaching the highest point after the 317 New Deal in 2017.

Now, Beijings real estate market small Yangchun appears rapid cooling.

Multiple sales offices closed

On June 15, the Beijing Municipal Commission of housing and urban rural development issued a notice calling for strengthening the prevention and control of the epidemic situation in Beijings housing rental agencies. Stores located in the middle and high-risk areas of the epidemic should suspend all kinds of gathering activities. On the evening of June 16, the response level of public health emergencies in Beijing was adjusted to level II. Do not stop production, but encourage home office and remote office.

In Fengtai, Daxing, Fangshan and other areas, there are some projects that have not closed the sales offices, and the whole staff of the real estate consultants have been tested for nucleic acid. However, the marketing director of a project in Daxing District told 21st century economic news that although the sales office has not been closed, the number of people watching houses has decreased significantly in recent days, no one dare to come to Nancheng..

Xu Xiaole, chief market analyst of Shell Research Institute, believes that the rebound of the current round of Beijing epidemic has a significant impact on short-term transactions in the market. According to the data of Shell Research Institute, the trading volume of Beijing chain house fell by 17% compared with the average value of the previous three weekends on the weekend of June 13 and June 14, of which Fengtai District fell by 23%. From June 15 to June 18, the trading volume of Beijing chain stores fell 45% compared with the same period of the previous week, of which Fengtai District fell 66%.

Xu Xiaole said that although the number of confirmed cases in Beijing began to decline recently, the prevention and control of the epidemic is still cautious, and the second-hand housing transactions in Beijing in June are expected to show a slight decline on a month on month basis.

Year round impact or limited

Before this round of market cooling, Beijing real estate market is experiencing the hottest period in recent years. Since the end of March, Beijings property market has gradually warmed up and reached a trading high in May.

According to the data of Beijing Municipal Commission of housing and urban rural development, in May 2020, the number of second-hand housing online signs in Beijing was 16000, an increase of 39% on a month on month basis and 75% on a year-on-year basis. Taking into account the scale of 4172 new housing transactions, the scale of commercial housing transactions in Beijing exceeded 20000 in May, reaching the highest point after the 317 New Deal in 2017.

Among them, on May 29, the single-day trading scale of second-hand houses in Beijing broke through 1000 sets, which is the first time since March 2019.

At the same time, the average transaction price of second-hand houses in Beijing also increased significantly in May due to the stimulation of the new education reform policy.

But in June, about 80% of the second-hand housing transactions in the market began to decline. A number of institutions told 21st century economic report that since June, the volume of second-hand houses in Beijing has been significantly lower than that in May. This is mainly caused by two reasons: the decline in the volume of housing transactions in the school district and the rise in prices of some housing sources.

Most respondents believe that the recent outbreak is accelerating market cooling in the short term. Among them, the volume of Beijings real estate market in June may have a decline of 30-40%. In the long run, although prevention and control is becoming more and more normalized, if the epidemic can be controlled quickly, the market will not be greatly affected.

Xu Xiaole believes that in the long run, the current Beijing market is dominated by the demand for improved housing, and the demand suppressed by the epidemic will gradually be released in the next few months as the epidemic subsides. The epidemic is expected to have limited impact on both parties, and the annual average price will not change significantly.

The aforementioned real estate enterprise personage also said that the customer storage of the project is good, and the epidemic will only delay the release of demand. The only concern is the duration of the outbreak and whether it will recur in the second half of the year. At present, if the epidemic can be quickly controlled, the sales rhythm of the project will not be greatly affected.

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