Which city is more dependent on real estate? How about the trend of school district housing

category:Finance
 Which city is more dependent on real estate? How about the trend of school district housing


Zhengzhou has the highest dependence on real estate investment and Beijing has the lowest

The proportion of real estate development investment in GDP is regarded as an indicator to measure the dependence of local economic growth on real estate investment. The higher the proportion is, the more dependent the economy is on real estate investment.

In terms of the dependence of real estate investment in each city, Zhengzhou and Hangzhou have a high degree of dependence, both of which are over 20%, especially in Zhengzhou, which is 28.9%. Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Wuxi are less dependent than 12%. Among them, Beijing has 10.9%, the lowest dependence on real estate investment.

Yan Yuejin, research director of think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, pointed out in an interview with Zhongxin Jingwei that in terms of the proportion of all kinds of cities, some cities have obviously accelerated the pace of land supply and high development intensity, so the proportion of development investment will be relatively high, which also shows that development investment is favored by developers.

According to Gao Juhui, research group of Guoxins macro economy and real estate, the high degree of dependence on real estate investment in some cities indicates the high degree of dependence on investment, and it is necessary to optimize the GDP structure by increasing industrial transformation and upgrading.

02

The heat of land market continues to rise

According to the statistics of Zhongyuan Real Estate Research Center, from January to April, the land sold in 50 national hot cities reached 1.22 trillion yuan, up 10.3% year on year. Among them, the total land transfer of hot 50 cities in April was 504.47 billion, which was the first time in the year to exceed 500 billion in a single month. The average residential land premium rate of the first and second tier cities in April was the highest since the second half of 2019. The average premium rate was 15.54%, compared with 12.58% in March.

Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Zhongyuan Real estate, told reporters that under the influence of policies such as reducing the standard and interest rates, the enthusiasm of real estate enterprises to acquire land has gradually increased, and many land transactions with high premium rate have occurred again. Although the epidemic has a great impact on the capital chain of real estate enterprises, the difficulty of domestic financing has decreased, and the enthusiasm of some enterprises to acquire land has increased again.

Gao pointed out that novel coronavirus pneumonia has been the major impact of the real estate industry since 2020. Central and local governments have introduced measures to stabilize the market. In real estate, the policy is mainly focused on the supply side, including tax relief or extension, increased loan support, adjustment of land transfer price payment methods and time limit, relaxation of pre-sale conditions, and extension of the opening period. These measures have played a positive role in alleviating the pressure on the capital chain of enterprises.

03

What is the future trend of school district housing?

At the end of April, Xicheng District of Beijing issued a new education policy. Since July 31 of this year, the families who bought the house no longer have to register for admission to the school with a slice. All of them are enrolled in the school district or adjacent school district in the way of multi school slice. So far, all six districts of Beijing City have made it clear to enroll in the way of multi school planning.

In the Financial Street School District, Hongmiao primary school is the counterpart of the experimental middle school affiliated to Beijing Normal University. At present, the counterpart school district houses with an area of more than 50 square meters and a total price of 10 million yuan are sold rapidly.

A number of real estate agents said that the increase in transaction volume was caused by the anxiety of the buyer and the seller: School District real estate owners worried that the regional advantage was no longer available, the house price might fall sharply, and they were eager to sell off; parents worried about the future multi school film, they were uncertain about going to famous schools, and they wanted to catch the last bus as soon as possible.

In Shanghai, the reporter visited and found that the sales unit price of school district houses with better counterparts also increased. The Affiliated Primary School of East China Normal University is the key primary school of the first echelon of Putuo District in Shanghai. The first and second villages of East China Normal University were originally limited to internal sales of teachers and workers. Since July 2018, when the purchase was no longer limited, the house price increased from 60000 yuan per square meter to 83000 yuan.

Mr. Li, 35, spent more than 5 million yuan to buy a set of old broken small with an area of more than 50 square meters for his son to enter the Affiliated Primary School of East China Normal University. If we are willing to sacrifice for our children, we should buy a degree indicator and invest when we run out of it. He said.

Li Yujia, chief researcher of Guangdong housing policy research center, said that the rapid rise of housing prices in the school district this year is related to the impact of the epidemic on the economy; although the school district has long housing age, poor supporting facilities and poor living experience, it is still regarded as a safe investment by some speculators.

04

The property of school district housing investment is reduced

At present, the State takes the balanced and fair development of compulsory education as an important goal. In Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and other cities, we should take multiple measures to weaken the concept of school district housing.

Beijing has expanded the coverage of high-quality education resources by means of group education and school district system reform; the six districts of the city have made clear measures such as six years and one degree and multiple schools and districts to cool down the school district housing. Shanghai has vigorously promoted the collectivization of school running, and through the policies of public run private joint recruitment, private lottery, etc., to prevent the screening of the younger age, and promote the fair and balanced development of educational resources. According to the regulations of several districts in Guangzhou, if there is no self owned housing in the city, you can use the housing rented in the district as the only residence to enroll nearby.

Some experts believe that the gradual implementation of policies such as multi school planning is a new starting point for the equalization of compulsory education, and the school district housing with high fever for many years is expected to cool down. Wang Ming, deputy director of the education development research center of the Ministry of education, believes that the policy of single school film allocation in the past has strengthened the scarcity of high-quality education resources, and there is a certain randomness due to the lack of recognized standards in determining the scope of film allocation, which has caused many disputes. The implementation of multi school slicing, by increasing the selectivity to promote fairness, enables students with average family economic strength to have more possibility to enter high-quality schools, which can objectively inhibit the excessive speculation of school district housing. Chen Jie, director of the housing and urban rural development research center of Shanghai Jiaotong University, said that the driving force of investment in school district housing could be weakened through multi school planning and irregular degree rotation. Source: integration from Zhongxin Jingwei, lookout source: Financial Times editor in charge: Chen Hequn_ NB12679

Some experts believe that the gradual implementation of policies such as multi school planning is a new starting point for the equalization of compulsory education, and the school district housing with high fever for many years is expected to cool down.

Wang Ming, deputy director of the education development research center of the Ministry of education, believes that the policy of single school film allocation in the past has strengthened the scarcity of high-quality education resources, and there is a certain randomness due to the lack of recognized standards in determining the scope of film allocation, which has caused many disputes. The implementation of multi school slicing, by increasing the selectivity to promote fairness, enables students with average family economic strength to have more possibility to enter high-quality schools, which can objectively inhibit the excessive speculation of school district housing.

Chen Jie, director of the housing and urban rural development research center of Shanghai Jiaotong University, said that the driving force of investment in school district housing could be weakened through multi school planning and irregular degree rotation.

Source: integration from Zhongxin longitude and latitude, outlook