Irans parliament approved the severe revenge bill experts: there are roughly four options

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 Irans parliament approved the severe revenge bill experts: there are roughly four options


On January 6, vehicles carrying the remains of people killed in the air raid, such as Sulaimani, drove through the streets of Tehran. Many people came to see off for photos / Xinhua News Agency

The funeral of Qasim Souleymane, commander of the Holy City Brigade under Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard, who was killed by us air strikes, was held in Tehran, the capital of Iran, on June 6. U.S. government officials expect Iran to launch some form of major attack within a few days after Sulaimanis funeral in retaliation for U.S. air strikes.

On January 7 local time, Irans parliament approved a bill called severe revenge, paving the way for the upcoming retaliation against the United States, and announced that all members of the Pentagon, including commanders, agents and those who killed Sulaimani, would be regarded as terrorists.

In response, Geng Shuang, a spokesman for the Chinese foreign ministry, said at a regular press conference yesterday afternoon, we urge the US side not to use force indiscriminately, but also call on all parties concerned to exercise restraint and avoid the escalation of events. We will return to the track of dialogue and consultation as soon as possible, and push for the reduction of tensions as soon as possible.

A stampede at Souleymanes funeral

The funeral of Qasim Souleymane, commander of the Holy City Brigade under Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard, who was killed by us air strikes, was held in Tehran, the capital of Iran, on June 6.

According to Iranian media reports, hundreds of thousands of Iranian people rushed to the streets of Tehran on the same day to see Sulaimani off. Dressed in black, they chanted anti American slogans and held up placards demanding that the US troops leave the Middle East immediately. Irans top leader Khamenei and President Rouhani attended the funeral. Suleymani was buried Monday in his hometown, Kerman, in southeast Iran.

At least 40 people were killed and more than 200 injured in a stampede at the funeral of Iranian commander Sulaimani in Kerman, Iran, Monday, Iranian television reported.

Ismail Kani, the new commander of the Holy City Brigade, said he would inherit Sulaimanis career and drive out American forces in the region.

Irans foreign minister Zarif said on social media that day that the United States presence in Western Asia has begun to end..

Sulaimani was killed by us air strikes outside Baghdad International Airport on March 3. Khamenei later issued a statement saying that Iran will take tough revenge on the incident.

U.S. military guard against retaliation in Iran

U.S. intelligence shows that Irans domestic military preparations have been strengthened, and it is impossible to judge whether it is for strengthening defense or preparing to launch military attacks. Some Iranian ships have left the base and are capable of launching attacks quickly.

U.S. military officials told the associated press Saturday that Iran may try to tit for tat to attack senior U.S. generals. The U.S. military in Iraq has stepped up its alert, suspended all training missions for Iraqi security forces, and transferred troops from Kuwait to protect U.S. personnel in Iraq. U.S. officials believe that Irans specific response to the air strikes will determine the ultimate direction of the crisis.

In addition, the U.S. government decided not to issue visas to Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Jawad Zarif, who was scheduled to travel to New York this week to attend a meeting of the United Nations Security Council, a U.S. foreign official said Tuesday.

Some political analysts believe that after Sulaimanis death, Iran has no choice but to retaliate, but it is not easy to grasp the form and strength of retaliation, weak response is difficult to explain to the domestic people, excessive response is easy to trigger a comprehensive military confrontation with the United States.

Karim sajadpur, a senior researcher at the Carnegie Institute for international peace studies, believes that Iran has roughly four options: first, direct military retaliation. U.S. intelligence shows that Iran has high-precision guided missiles, cruise missiles and drones, and has the ability to launch attacks on U.S. military bases in the Middle East, but such attacks are likely to cause fierce response from the United States.

The second is to block the Strait of Hormuz. This channel is the only channel to and from the Gulf, through which one fifth of the worlds crude oil trade passes. The security of Irans territorial waters in the Strait of Hormuz is in the charge of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard. In case of military confrontation and other events, it may seriously disrupt the crude oil trade and stimulate the rise of international oil prices. However, the US side has clearly listed the blockade of the Straits as the red line.

Third, agent strategy. The U.S. believes that Irans support of agents in Iraq, Syria, Yemen and other countries can use weapons assistance, military training and other means to launch attacks on U.S. interests and U.S. allies by regional and even global Pro Iran forces.

Fourth, secret diplomatic dialogue. The probability of this option is not high, but Iran and the United States have precedents of diplomatic dialogue on Afghanistan, Iraq and other issues. In the case of all-round military confrontation against the interests of both sides, if there is a common enemy or an intersection of interests, diplomacy is an option to resolve the crisis.

The United States denies reports of withdrawal from Iraq

U.S. troops in Iraq wrote to the Iraqi side on the 6th, triggering speculation that the U.S. military might withdraw from Iraq within days to weeks. Senior U.S. military officials immediately came forward to clarify the misunderstanding, saying that the letter was only a draft and improperly worded.

The U.S. Defense Department said Friday that there is no change in U.S. military policy in Iraq, and there is no plan to withdraw from Iraq. This is the response of the U.S. Department of defense to media reports that the United States will withdraw its troops from Iraq. In the statement, the U.S. Defense Department also said that the United States will continue to maintain communication and coordination with the Iraqi government on matters such as fighting against the extremist organization Islamic state and supporting Iraqi security forces.

Earlier on June 6, US media reported that the commander of the US military in Iraq wrote to the Iraqi Ministry of defense that, out of respect for Iraqs independent sovereignty and at the request of the Iraqi national assembly and the prime minister, the US led forces of the international coalition against the Islamic state will be redeployed in the near future to prepare for the safe and efficient withdrawal from Iraq.

After the broadcast of the report, US Defense Minister esper and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of staff Miley both clarified to the media. Millie told reporters at the Pentagon that the letter was just a draft and should not be made public. He stressed that this [letters content] is not in line with reality.

Iraqs National Assembly held a special session on the 5th to pass a resolution on ending the presence of foreign troops. According to the contents of the resolution, the Iraqi government cancelled the previous request for assistance to the League of nations to fight against the extremist organization Islamic state. The government of Iraq should be committed to ending the presence of any foreign troops on its territory.

U.S. President trump said later Friday that the United States will impose large-scale sanctions on Iraq if it demands the withdrawal of U.S. troops in an inappropriate manner.

(function() {(window. Slotbydup = window. Slotbydup| []). Push ({ID: u5811557, container: ssp_, async: true});}) (); source: responsible editor of Beijing Youth Daily: Li Chao