Is Trumps re-election, which stabbed the hornets nest in the Middle East still a play?

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 Is Trumps re-election, which stabbed the hornets nest in the Middle East still a play?


Does trump who stabbed the Middle East horses beehive get another reelection? (source: look at the news)

The sudden escalation of the confrontation between the United States and Iraq affects the nerves of the world.

Last Friday, Sulaimani, commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Holy City Brigade, was killed by us air strikes. After the three-day national mourning period, Irans tough revenge came to the ground, the first one to bear the brunt was the Iranian nuclear agreement.

Is Iran breaking through the nuclear agreement in the plan or in response to the intensified situation?

On the evening of the 5th, Iran announced that it would enter the fifth and final stage of suspending the implementation of the Iranian nuclear agreement and would no longer limit the number of centrifuges. Irans nuclear program will be promoted according to its own technical requirements and will not be subject to any practical restrictions, including uranium enrichment level and purity, quantity of enriched substances and research and development activities.

Fan Hongda, director of the Middle East Research Center of Xiamen University, believes that the hardliners in Iran were dissatisfied with the Iranian nuclear agreement. Trumps abrupt withdrawal from the agreement after taking office has deepened this dissatisfaction, and the bombing of Sulaimani, the banner of the hardliners, has pushed the dissatisfaction to the top. In this case, both the government and the people in Iran need a way to express their dissatisfaction, and the suspension of the implementation of the Iranian nuclear agreement is naturally one of the options.

Will US troops really withdraw from Iraq, an important base in the Middle East?

This round of conflict between the United States and Iran also led to the victims of the incident in Iraq. The green zone in the center of the capital Baghdad was hit by artillery shells for several consecutive days, causing casualties. At the same time, because both Iraq and Iran are Shiite Muslim dominated countries, Iraq naturally stands with Iran. Just yesterday, the Iraqi National Assembly held a special session and adopted a resolution on ending the presence of foreign troops.

Trump immediately responded to Iraqs decision to expel US troops. On the one hand, he asked for money, on the other hand, he threatened sanctions. It seems that its not so easy for US soldiers to leave. According to Diao Daming, a researcher at the national development and Strategy Research Institute of Renmin University of China, whether to withdraw or not is an awkward choice for the trump administration.

Not to withdraw means that the continued existence of U.S. forces in Iraq will be illegal, and will also become a live target for Irans retaliation, which will lead to a sharp rise in the possibility of hot war; withdraw, although to some extent caters to the sentiment of some anti war people in the United States, is unable to explain to the overall face of the Republican Party, to European allies, and to the Middle East Allies in the region are also unaccountable. Once withdrawn, Irans power will continue to grow in Iraq, and the so-called Shiite arc will be formed, which will put great pressure on Saudi Arabia and Israel.

(function() {(window. Slotbydup = window. Slotbydup| []). Push ({ID: u5811557, container: ssp_, async: true});}) ()); how will it affect Trumps re-election? In fact, the mainstream public opinion in the United States is anti war, and Trumps decision in recent days has inspired large-scale protests in the United States. In addition, the speaker of the house of Representatives and Democrat Pelosi also accused the trump government of not talking with Congress before the US military attack, and the house of representatives will vote on the resolution limiting Trumps military action against Iran. Diao Daming said whether the current tense situation between the US and Iran can be effectively alleviated will have a greater impact on Trumps re-election. If it can be effectively mitigated, there will be no obvious score reduction for trump; but if there is no settlement of differences, local conflicts or even casualties, it may be a nightmare for Trumps re-election journey. Source: take a look at the editor in charge of news: Luo Chongwei, nb12082

How will it affect Trumps re-election?

In fact, the mainstream public opinion in the United States is anti war, and Trumps decision in recent days has inspired large-scale protests in the United States. In addition, the speaker of the house of Representatives and Democrat Pelosi also accused the trump government of not talking with Congress before the US military attack, and the house of representatives will vote on the resolution limiting Trumps military action against Iran.

Diao Daming said whether the current tense situation between the US and Iran can be effectively alleviated will have a greater impact on Trumps re-election. If it can be effectively mitigated, there will be no obvious score reduction for trump; but if there is no settlement of differences, local conflicts or even casualties, it may be a nightmare for Trumps re-election journey.