Xiake Island: what is the plan of Irans U.S. drone beheading?

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 Xiake Island: what is the plan of Irans U.S. drone beheading?


As far away as Iran, his uncle Mohammed sent a message for the first time that a major event might happen, and many people in Iran have fallen into grief. Irans supreme leader Khamenei announced that the whole country will mourn for three days, and vowed to take severe revenge on the United States.

Why did the United States suddenly cross the red line of bilateral relations? Will war break out between the US and Iraq?

Souleymane

Payback

The immediate cause of the American attack on suleymani is revenge.

On the last day of 2019, the U.S. Embassy in Iraq was besieged by thousands of people. Protesters finally broke into the embassy and retreated after smashing and burning. U.S. diplomats hid for 24 hours in a secret safe house to avoid being robbed.

The White House insisted that Iran had planned the violence and said it would take full responsibility.

In addition, the U.S. accused Iran of instigating 11 attacks on U.S. contractors and bases in Iraq in the past two months, eventually killing a U.S. contractor on December 27.

According to foreign media, Sulaimani flew from Damascus, Syria, to Baghdad in the early morning of the 3rd, while Mohammad DIS, the deputy commander of the Iraqi militia peoples mobilization organization, went to the airport to pick up the plane.

A group of people then drove out of the airport in two black modern cars. When they were driving on a road, a nearby drone fired three precision missiles, which hit the two cars accurately, killing seven people on the spot.

In addition to Sulaimani, two senior officials of muhandis and Hezbollah in Lebanon were also killed in the air strikes.

Last year, Iran suffered a similar incident, when is the so-called revenge.

On November 27, 2019, the Iranian Consulate in Najaf City, Iraq was also impacted by protesters. The consulate was broken into and set on fire, and Iranian staff evacuated from the back door in time, without casualties. Iran believed that the matter was secretly supported by the United States and Saudi Arabia.

In the middle of December, there was a six-day riot in Iran, which was triggered by a sharp increase in the price of oil and gas. However, Irans intelligence department found that the United States forces used the Internet to connect, so it once cut off the Internet in the whole country.

After that, Iran also wants to teach the United States some lessons. However, we also know that the deterioration of relations between the United States and Iran is not a day or two. For example, last year, Iran defeated the U.S. drone, and the United States imposed the strongest sanctions on Iran.

For the United States, Irans recent two reprisals have been a bit shameful. Maybe the U.S. doesnt care about money. A 400 million dollar drone can bear being hit, but it always cares about human life.

This kind of thing is undoubtedly a political failure for the current US government. If it cant be settled, what is the face of the world leader?

Trump tweeted a picture of the American flag after suleymani was killed, but did not post any text

chance

For the United States, it must have been a long time of planning and calculation to get rid of suleymani, and today we have found an opportunity.

Sulaimani is very important to Irans strategic layout in the Middle East. It is through the Holy City Brigade led by Sulaimani that Iran is exerting influence in Syria and Iraq.

At present, there are about 2000 members of the Holy City Brigade in Syria. They serve as instructors to guide the Syrian army, but they are also actually involved in the fighting. In the Syrian battlefield, there are mostly guerrilla militia organizations. As a regular army, the Holy City Brigade has a strong combat capability and has made great contributions to the defense of the Assad regime in Syria.

In Iraq, Iran has no military power, but Sulaimani has extensive contacts in Iraq. The Iraqi peoples mobilization organization mentioned earlier is an ally of Iran. The reason why they have established their relationship is that they belong to the Shiites of Islam.

Similarly, Syrias Assad regime is Shiite. It can be seen that Iran is establishing a Shia military alliance in Middle East countries through religious ties, and Sulaimani is the leader of this task.

For the United States, which has a strong intelligence work, the Pentagon cannot be unaware of these things. However, it is unrealistic to expect the Iraqi government to restrain or even ban the Shiite militia. After all, when the Iraqi government army was defeated by Isis, it was the Shiite forces who resisted the black wave.

At this critical time, Sulaimani came to Baghdad. Its no surprise that the U.S. Army started against him.

On December 31, 2019, it is said that Iranian supported militia attacked the US embassy in Iraq

Warfare?

Why does the United States choose the means of targeted clearance in Iraq?

After the United States chose Sulaimani to leave Baghdad airport, the first thing to do was to warn Iran: Ill keep an eye on your every move.

Secondly, it also avoids the operation in Iran, or it will force Iran to retaliate on a large scale and directly attack the military bases in the Middle East.

I believe Iran can understand this new rule. Therefore, this is a major event, but it will not lead to a direct war between the two countries.

At present, for both the US and Iran, war is not their own strategic purpose. According to the current situation of the two countries, large-scale war is a heavy burden for both sides.

At the moment, Irans primary goal is to break sanctions, not peace. Once the war begins, the EU, which wants to help Iran crack the sanctions, will definitely sit in the US side, so the sanctions are even more unbreakable.

Of course, Iran will not give up so easily. Irans senior officials have made a concentrated statement, saying that they must carry out a new round of retaliation against the United States.

There is a high probability that Iran will choose the means of mobilizing the masses. No matter which Shiite armed forces in the Middle East can hit the United States (those bases and people in the Middle East), if they cant, they will also disturb American allies, such as Saudi Arabia and Israel.

Israel was the first to be nervous, and when the Israeli Defense Minister learned of the news, he immediately held a situation assessment meeting and kept the military on high alert.

Dont forget that Hizbullah in Lebanon was also killed in the air strikes. Hizbullah and Israel were enemies, and Shiite Hizbullah was an ally of Iran.

The latest news is that the US government is really nervous. The U.S. State Department has issued an emergency security warning calling for the immediate evacuation of all U.S. citizens in Iraq.

Is the white house right or wrong?

Souleymane

(function() {(window. Slotbydup = window. Slotbydup| []). Push ({ID: u5811557, container: ssp_, async: true});}) (); source of this paper: Xiake Island responsibility editor: Li Chao