Moody opens a historic gamble! What will happen if Kashmir offends China and Pakistan at the same time?

 Moody opens a historic gamble! What will happen if Kashmir offends China and Pakistan at the same time?

On August 7, Indian soldiers stood guard near outposts in Kashmir.

Recently, the Indian-controlled Kashmir region has been shaken again. India first sent 25,000 additional troops to the region in the name of anti-terrorism, then abolished Article 307 of the Indian Constitution by a presidential decree, deprived Kashmir of its autonomy, and then announced the establishment of the Ladakh Central Direct Jurisdiction, which immediately caused a great disturbance.

Article 307 of the Indian Constitution gives the Indian-controlled Kashmir a special status. It has no autonomy in the field of defense, diplomacy and communications, and enjoys all other powers. It is beyond the jurisdiction of Indian law.

The streets of Srinagar, the capital of Indian-controlled Kashmir, are covered with roadblocks, taken on September 28, 2018.

After India abolished Article 307 of the Constitution, the Indian-controlled Kashmir region became an ordinary territory of India, and the Indian government had the right to manage its specific affairs, which Pakistan strongly opposed. Because this may lead to a large influx of foreign population in Kashmir, change the current national situation, and stimulate sharp contradictions.

Before the signing of the 1972 Simra Agreement, the two countries fought three wars for the land, the first Indian-Pakistani War and the second Indian-Pakistani War, as well as the Cargill War. As a result, Kashmir will be divided into two parts, India and Pakistan will control one part, and India-controlled Kashmir will be larger.

An old photograph of the Indian-Pakistani war shows captured Indian tanks by Pakistani infantry.

But after the end of the war, the small-scale conflict between the two countries has never stopped. After entering the new century, India-Pakistan relations in Kashmir have eased. However, when Modi came to power, the Indian government has become increasingly tough, and the conflict between India and Pakistan around Kashmir has escalated again. In 2018 alone, 500 people were killed in the conflict.

The context of Kashmir issue is quite complex, which can be traced back to the British colonial period of India.

We know that India is one of the four ancient civilizations with a long history, but in modern times it was colonized and occupied by the British East India Company. Then the British government took over Indian rule from the East India Company. In 1877, the Queen of England was crowned Emperor of India.

India under British rule is divided into two parts, namely, British India and Turkish State. There are 11 provinces in British India, and the number of Turkish States is 550. Kashmir is one of the larger Turkish States. Tupang was ruled by a prince and was under the close control of the British government.

After World War II, Britains national strength shrank sharply and it was unable to continue to dominate the overseas colonies. At this time, Indias national consciousness had awakened and all parties demanded independence. So the British government launched a partition of India and Pakistan, dividing India into two parts, which is the origin of India and Pakistan.

In the Mombarton Plan of Indian-Pakistani partition, it is stipulated that Turkey can choose its own country of ownership, which is decided by the princes of Turkey, but the geographical location of the region should be taken into account. This provision has actually limited the ownership of the Turkish states within India and Pakistan.

But Kashmir is quite a moth. As a large Turkish state, Kashmir is just between Pakistan and India, so it can be divided into India and Pakistan.

Harry Singh, the last Prince of the Douglas Dynasty in Jammu-Kashmir, India. When India became independent in 1947, Singh hesitated and hoped to maintain Kashmirs independence, which eventually led to decades of unrest in Kashmir.

If the referendum was held, 80% of its residents would vote for Pakistan because of the same religious beliefs; but the prince also had the right to choose India because he believed in Hinduism.

So the ownership of Kashmir has been put on hold and become a thorny issue. Both India and Pakistan believed they had sovereignty over Kashmir, and several wars broke out.

Although the partition of Kashmir between the two countries is a compromise, the problems left over from history have not been really solved. Its hard to tell who started the small-scale conflicts, but India is still dominant overall.

From time to time, shelling incidents of different scales occur between India and Pakistan, which has caused many casualties. The picture shows the training of Indian Army artillery.

In a sense, the Kashmir issue is an important catalyst for the rise of Indian and Pakistani forces and their successive support for nuclear weapons, so once large-scale war breaks out between India and Pakistan again, the consequences are unimaginable.

At present, however, there are no signs that the two countries have expanded the conflict. Pakistan has adopted the means of diplomatic demotion, expelled Indian diplomats in Pakistan, withdrawn Indian diplomats, reported to the United Nations Security Council, suspended bilateral economic and trade cooperation, closed some airspace with India, stopped the friendship train, or even banned them. Indian films.

Although the Pakistani side has taken many actions, it is not fierce. Pakistans foreign minister said that Pakistan did not consider taking military action, which is a moderate tone. But everything still depends on Indias next move, because Pakistan also stresses that it reserves the right to respond to any aggression.

Pakistans foreign minister said at a press conference that Pakistan does not consider military options on Kashmir.

India, while claiming to cancel Kashmirs special status, belongs to Indias internal affairs. Pakistan has overreacted and sent additional troops to arrest large numbers of people, including regional leaders, in the Kashmir region, expelling tourists, closing schools, interrupting local communications and network services, demonstrating the need to win once and for all. Kashmirs tough attitude.

More seriously, India has established the so-called Radak Directly Administered Area in Kashmir, which covers the Chinese territory in the western part of the Sino-Indian border.

China responded publicly on August 6, saying that Indias practice was unacceptable and would not have any effect.

At present, the whole world is paying attention to the trend of India and Pakistan in Kashmir. After all, this is a conflict between two nuclear-weapon States in history, which have fought more than once before. American media said it was the darkest moment of Modis government, while Russian media said Modi was gambling historically, and Kashmir was at worst the flashpoint of nuclear war.

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