A few days ago, uncle Tao had just analyzed the abacus of President Trumps nuclear agreement in Iran. Today, boots are coming down. Us time 2 p.m. on May 8th, President Trump officially announced that the United States will withdraw from the Iran nuclear agreement and will impose the highest level of sanctions against Iran. How high is the highest level? According to the United States Department of finance, all financial economic and commercial activities and activities related to Iran need to be banned by August 6th this year, including exports of aircraft and spare parts, foreign exchange settlement, gold and other metal trade, sovereign debt and auto industry association. Before November 4th this year, the sanctions ban will expand to oil and its related products. Any port wharf loading and unloading, tanker shipping, and insurance and central bank transactions, which are related to the Iran oil business, will be fully withdrawn. President Trump is so determined that he has made a strong effort to brighten up the muscles of Iran. The ancients cloud, the blessing and the disaster no door, but the man from the call. What will be called after Trumps capricious retreat? reaction Taking copper as a mirror, we can dress positively. If we look at it as a mirror, we can gain some gains and losses. Lets first take President Trumps mass line and listen to the reaction of the international community. This includes the allies of the United States. A few days ago, the leaders of France and Germany and Johnson, the British foreign minister, came to the United States to try to persuade the United States not to withdraw from the Iran nuclear agreement and to amend the documents including the main demands of the United States, but none of this had stopped Trump from the iron heart, and he was retreating. In this case, the European allies of the United States have been unequivocal in their attitude. France has made a clear talk, even if the U. S. quit the agreement, the EU has to continue; the British attitude is ambiguous, but the attitude of Foreign Minister Johnson does not want to run too fast with the United States. Europe was not like that during the war in Iraq. Although France was opposed to sending troops, Britain and Germany did not hesitate to support the United States. But it may be to sell a face to European allies. President Trump rarely did things at the very beginning. From the previous timetable, we can see that the United States has left a withdrawal period of three months to half a year in the United States, which means that, in this period, enterprises with Iran will not be suffering from the long arm jurisdiction of the United States, but the time limit is afraid to... In addition to allies, Trumps predecessor could not see it. After retiring, the first of Obama, the former president of the United States, who was constantly evaluated by Trump as stupid and humiliating by the Iran nuclear agreement, was the first to stand out and speak. He called Trumps action a disaster and reprimanded the Trump administrations practice not only to damage the American credit, but also to abandon the allies, this is a serious mistake. What makes Obama angry? It is very simple. Obama is worried that under the operation of Trump, the elder brother of the United States is not in the position. At the time of the war in Iraq, France was used to disagree with the United States alone, and today the European Union (Britain has not yet taken off) is able to stand in the same position. All the time, the United States and other allies allies have two ties to maintain: one, the security of protection, two, the economic opening of the American domestic market, and, in addition, sprinkled money is a drizzle. Now, on the one hand, the United States, on the one hand, continues to say that European allies consider the future of their own defense and save the money; on the other hand, they continue to engage in trade barriers in the economy and want to find money from their allies. For example, for example, the steel and aluminum sanctions have been made not long ago, although temporarily exempt from allies, but why temporary exemption everyone is clear, waiting for the United States to take off, the European Union is expected to suffer a little. Middle East The reaction in the Middle East is also worth playing. So far, in addition to the support of Israeli clapping and half a ton of washing powder in time, in Arabia countries with Irans feud, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, with the greatest pressure to face Iran, hold their teeth in the United States, and most of the rest of the countries are silent. Why? They know clearly that if the situation in the Middle East deteriorates, they will be the number one back pot man. Although the expansion of Iran makes them unhappy, if the future of the United States is more arrogant, their American allies can inevitably be brought on the hat of Islamic traitors, and their fortress from inside is not a joke. Oh, yes, the US embassy is moving to Jerusalem soon. This is not a joke. The USs geopolitical game, which wants to weaken Irans huge impact on the Middle East, is welcomed by Arabia countries. But if they are to pay the above price, I am afraid they will just keep silent and keep their distance. It seems that the United States is beginning to become more and more isolated. A situation This time, the United States withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement alone, but failed to win the support of its European allies. This is like blocking the door, but the next window is still open, and other nuclear agreement participants, without the support of the United Nations resolution, will have to do the best way to bypass the long arm jurisdiction of the United States, and at the most, it is a little more inconvenient. Looking at Irans president Rouhanis statement, he said that in future consultations, if Irans interests are not protected by the agreement, the Iran atomic energy organization will reactivate any level of uranium enrichment, I have ordered the Iran Atomic Energy Agency to take the necessary measures in order to act in the future, in order to make it possible to act in the future. Resuming uranium enrichment activities when necessary. We will wait a few weeks to make a decision. We will discuss with our friends, allies and other members of the agreement. It is still an impossible task for the United States today to destroy Irans nuclear capability unless the United States strikes ground to attack Iran. But can it be? Believe that the most irrational political figures in the United States will not forget the Iraq war that just ended soon. In the US political circles, there are many people who oppose Trump, many of whom are high officials. In spite of Trumps inauguration, he has worked very hard to find a transcript that has passed, but it seems to be making his political foundation narrower and narrower. A politician can use the modern media to launch the populist mood, but his ruling initiatives still need the cooperation of political elites. Once the political foundation becomes too narrow, it will not only be more constrained by the legislature and even the judicial organs in the future administrative process, but even the formulation and implementation of the policy will have problems. Finally, the back pot or Trump himself. President Rouhani of Iran Abacus In the end, why did Trump have to play the big trouble of the Iran nuclear agreement? Uncle Dao felt that, in addition to Trumps personal subjectively, leather Obamas life, a period of time in Iran appeared some political fluctuations, such as street protests, and so on. In the eyes of the American hawks, Iran is by no means monolithic. If the outside world exerts strong pressure, there may be a new revolution within Iran. Under the heavy pressure, Iran should also converge and converge the aggressive strength of the recent Syria and Yemen. This way, the United States will be able to lend to the adults of the Gulf States and continue to play lower in the middle east later in the Middle East. This should be regarded as the highest goal of Trump and the Hawks. In todays Trumps public speech on this matter, he directly recognized this point. But this abacus looks good, but its a bit unreliable. Some time ago, there were some street protests in Iran, but what was the result? Ahmadinejad, the former president of the Iran who firmly pushed ahead with the nuclear program, was arrested. This shows in the side that the street protests in Iran were probably the ones in Iran who were not willing to give up the development of nuclear weapons, using the bottom of the people to start their discontent. If the United States wants to push down the present moderate government and the other hardliners will come to power, they will not even achieve the aspirations of the United States and Israel. It may be that his staff may be aware that the abacus may be unreliable, but that does not prevent him from acting as Trump style, perhaps the first step. If this posture could frighten Iran back, he might have a broad look, agreed to negotiate a modified agreement, and then put the nuclear issue with Iran, such as Yemen and Syria, to withdraw military personnel and stop support. This may be the minimum goal he cares more about. To do this, Trump will make Russias burden in Syria bigger and finally compromise because of its inability to move back. Now Trump needs such a transcript, and he can say to his allies, should you listen to me? If its not me, do you cure Russia? Youll hear me right later! Love, the next choice I must be right... Regardless of the pursuit of the highest goal or the lowest goal, Trump is in the guise of American priority, gambling with the interests of allies and the long-term interests of the United States. Once a bet is lost and Iran is pushed back to the old road, there will be another nuclear country in the world. Dont you understand it? Not only do you understand it, you may be annoyed. The United States, perhaps because of its short history, does not attach importance to the lessons of history. Al-qaddafis fate has stimulated a round of nuclear proliferation. They do not take a serious reflection. Today, the Peninsula issue is easy to ease the dawn of the dawn, and they want to do things here in Iran. Is it really good to press the gourd to float a ladle? Is the American hawk feeling that he has as many hands and feet as octopus? It has been enough for a few years. The source of this article: knight errant editor: Xu Meng _NN7485 Regardless of the pursuit of the highest goal or the lowest goal, Trump is in the guise of American priority, gambling with the interests of allies and the long-term interests of the United States. Once a bet is lost and Iran is pushed back to the old road, there will be another nuclear country in the world. Dont you understand it? Not only do you understand it, you may be annoyed. The United States, perhaps because of its short history, does not attach importance to the lessons of history. Al-qaddafis fate has stimulated a round of nuclear proliferation. They do not take a serious reflection. Today, the Peninsula issue is easy to ease the dawn of the dawn, and they want to do things here in Iran. Is it really a good time to press the gourd and float the ladle? Or do the American hawks feel that they have enough hands and feet as an octopus? What is the consequences of unilateralism in the United States today? How did it come to this situation? After all, it was very short and very short, and it had been enough since the beginning of the century.