Expert: Consumers will still sell 4G mobile phones with less than 5G mobile phones in 2 years.

 Expert: Consumers will still sell 4G mobile phones with less than 5G mobile phones in 2 years.

Journalist Ma Yan

5G is undoubtedly the hottest keyword in the field of communication. The propaganda of 5G by major manufacturers and media is so popular that many consumers think they can use 5G mobile phones immediately. Even recently, some consumers have gone to a store of a mobile phone brand to specify that they want to buy 5G mobile phones.

In fact, although major mobile phone manufacturers are rushing to release a number of 5G mobile phones, from the judgment of research institutions and analysts, consumers may not be able to use 5G mobile phones this year.

Roberta Cozza, director of research at Gartner, said: 2019 will be an important year for the development and testing of various 5G technologies; however, it is unlikely that 5G will be widely used in mobile devices until 2020. We expect to sell 65 million 5G mobile phones by 2020.

Fu Liang, a telecommunications expert, told the Securities Daily that 5G mobile phones will be listed one after another in the third quarter of 2019, but it is difficult to produce on a large scale and the price is relatively high. The main sales in this year and next are still 4G mobile phones.

Some analysis points out that from the process of popularization of 3G and 4G networks, it is usually the operators who build the network first that the mobile phone manufacturers will launch 3G or 4G mobile phones. But in the 5G era, people no longer follow this order. In the past 2018, domestic mobile phone manufacturers, represented by millet, OPPO and vivo, have continuously shown their phased achievements in the research and development of 5G mobile phones. For example, OPPO announced on October 27, 2018 that it had taken the lead in successfully implementing 5G Internet access in the laboratory.

Several major mobile phone manufacturers with comparable strength are also calling to be the first to launch 5G mobile phones. However, Im afraid the 5G mobile phone that manufacturers talk about is not the same as the 5G mobile phone in consumersminds.

Domestic mobile phone brand vivo released APEX? 2019 in the afternoon of January 24, claiming to be a product that fully supports 5G functions.

At Huaweis 5G Conference on the morning of January 24, Yu Chengdong revealed that the 5G mobile phone will be released at this years Barcelona Telecom Exhibition, that is, next month.

So far, vivo and Huaweis 5G mobile phone release plan has been very clear, domestic mobile phone brands such as millet and OPPO will certainly follow up quickly.

Gartner reports that as global smartphone sales have fallen sharply, mobile phone manufacturers are shifting their attention to new technologies such as 5G and foldable shapes to provide differentiated experiences for Smartphone users.

In the background of the bottleneck of technological innovation and fierce competition in the mobile phone industry, 5G has become a selling point to boost sales.

But the fact is, although several 5G mobile phones have been released, the 5G license has not yet been officially issued.

It is pointed out that although 5G commerce has been put on the agenda, it will take at least two years for 5G to be truly popular. Specifically, if consumers want to use 5G network, they need to go through several processes, such as trial commercial, 5G licensing, 5G network construction, 5G mobile phone batch listing and so on. At present, China has just opened the prelude of 5G commercial trial, and the three major operators have only obtained the 5G test frequency band.

In that case, what is the situation of 5G mobile phones that major manufacturers are releasing first?

According to vivo staff, APEX? 2019 is essentially a 5G concept machine, which will not be mass-produced, but the technology on this machine will be applied on the mass-produced 5G mobile phone in the future.

In addition, Hu Houkun, Vice Chairman of Huawei, revealed at the Davos World Economic Forum panel meeting on January 22 that Huaweis first 5G mobile phone will be launched in June this year. Huawei staff told the Securities Daily that they had no expectations about the production of the mobile phone. For the question of whether users can use 5G mobile phones in 2019, Huawei staff sold a pass to reporters, saying that it will be known by then.

According to Fu Liang, a telecommunications expert, the major mobile phone manufacturers are rushing to release 5G mobile phones in order to brush the sense of existence.

Pan Jiutang, a partner of the Millet Industry Investment Department, pointed out that the first batch of 5G pre-commercial products in the world in 2019 were experimental products. Global 5G mobile phone shipments in 2019 may reach tens of millions (global smart phone sales are 1.4 billion annually). Ordinary people buy 5G after the second half of 2020 (Apple only has 5G mobile phones in the second half of 2020).

Source: Liable Editor of Securities Daily: Yao Liwei_NT6056